How would politics change in this area of the Middle East if an independent Kurdistan were formed?

Answer 1

Answer 1

the president barzani talibanni are controlling all the currency and transferring it to the bank of Switzerland so they will a lot worse off if it was to go independent.

Answer 2

If Kurdistan were to become an independent country composing all four of the major contiguous Kurdish regions (Turkey, Iraq, Iran, Syria), Middle Eastern politics would change profoundly. The Kurds have historically shown a greater preference for a Western-style alignment than an Arab, Iranian, or Turkish alignment given their history with all three major power bases. What would likely occur is the Kurdistan would have nominal relations with its former component states, but would have strong alliances with Israel and Armenia. Unlike most Turks, the leading Kurds involved in the Armenian Genocide have admitted that it was a genocide, fostering a much likelier reconciliation. The alliance with Israel would likely stem from both their Western-style alignment, preference for democratic governance, wishing to have a counterweight to Iranian or Turkish re-invasion, and a similar history of genocide and stateless history.

An Israeli-Kurdish Alliance would take some of the pressure off of the current Israeli-Turkish Alliance and allow Israel to pursue stronger relations with Greece and Cyprus. Iran's ability to affect Syrian politics would likely be diminished. We might also see a movement in Iran of Iranian Azeris wishing to secede to Azerbaijan, but this is less likely. Also less likely, but possible, would be a Lebanese re-evaluation of their position and become less of an Arab State and more of a "intermediate" Arab-European State as bridge between the Arab World and the West.