40th British Columbia general election

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40th British Columbia general election

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40th British Columbia general election
British Columbia
2009 ←
members
On or before May 14, 2013 (2013-05-14)
→ 41st

85 seats in the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia
43 seats are needed for a majority
Opinion polls
  Christy Clark.jpg Adrian Dix cropped.jpg
Leader Christy Clark Adrian Dix
Party BC Liberal New Democrat
Leader since February 26, 2011 April 17, 2011
Leader's seat Vancouver-Point Grey Vancouver-Kingsway
Last election 49 seats, 45.82% 35 seats, 42.15%
Current seats 46 36

  John-cummins-8313.jpg Jane Sterk.JPG
Leader John Cummins Jane Sterk
Party Conservative Green
Leader since May 28, 2011 2007
Leader's seat TBA TBA
Last election 0 seats, 2.10% 0 seats, 8.21%
Current seats 1 0

Incumbent Premier

Christy Clark
BC Liberal

The 40th British Columbia general election is tentatively scheduled for May 14, 2013, to elect members of the Legislative Assembly in the Canadian province of British Columbia. The BC Liberal Party formed the government of the province prior to this general election under the leadership of Premier Gordon Campbell. The New Democratic Party under the leadership of Adrian Dix is the Official Opposition.

Contents

Timing

Section 23 of British Columbia's Constitution Act provides that general elections occur on the second Tuesday of fourth calendar year after the last election.[1] As the most recent election was on May 12, 2009, the next election would be held on May 14, 2013, under that provision. The same section though makes the fixed election date subject to the Lieutenant Governor's right to dissolve the Legislative Assembly as he or she sees fit.[1]

Background

After leading the BC Liberals for 17 years, Gordon Campbell announced he would resign as Premier and party leader in November 2010. This was seen as the result of opposition to the Harmonized Sales Tax, which was very unpopular with voters.[2]

In the ensuing leadership campaign, Christy Clark, the eventual winner, suggested she would prefer to hold an election earlier than 2013 to secure her own mandate.[3] She was believed to be preparing her party for an election as early as autumn 2011.[4] However, due to the unfavourable result from the HST referendum, she decided to rule out an early election.[5]

Issues

Several extremely contentious issues have emerged that will almost certainly be factors in the election, including

Registered political parties

This is a list of currently registered political parties.[6]

Party Leader Notes
  British Columbia Liberal Party Christy Clark The BC Liberals won the 2009 election under Gordon Campbell. Polling numbers have been hard upon the Liberals since their re-election, with many polls stating the prevailing reason as the introduction of the Harmonized Sales Tax, although a budget deficit and service cuts were also shown to be factors.

On February 26, 2011, Christy Clark was chosen as its leader in their 2011 leadership convention.[7]

  British Columbia New Democratic Party Adrian Dix On April 17, 2011, Adrian Dix was chosen as its leader in their 2011 leadership convention.
  Green Party of British Columbia Jane Sterk The BC Greens have continued to poll in the low-teens despite a low profile. While they managed not to go into debt following the 2009 provincial election, the party does not possess the resources and organization of the other major parties.
  British Columbia Conservative Party John Cummins The Conservative Party has emerged from a minor party to a contender according to polling in 2012 which has it tied with the Liberals for the centre-right vote. In 2009, the Conservatives under the leadership of Wilf Hanni polled respectably in numerous ridings. The party received a boost when, on March 26, 2012, Abbotsford South MLA John van Dongen announced that he was leaving the BC Liberals to join the BC Conservatives, providing the party with its first representative in the legislature since 1986.
  British Columbia Refederation Party vacant
  British Columbia Libertarian Party TBD
  Reform Party of British Columbia David Charles Hawkins
  Nation Alliance Party Wei Ping Chen
  Sex Party John Ince
  Communist Party of British Columbia George Gidora
  People's Front Charles Boylan
  British Columbia Marijuana Party Marc Emery
  Your Political Party James Filippelli
  Work Less Party of British Columbia Conrad Schmidt
  Western Canada Concept Doug Christie
  BC First Party TBD BC First founding Annual General Meeting is being planned for early 2012.


Opinion polls

Polling Firm Date of Polling Link Lib. NDP Green Cons. Other type of poll sample size
Angus Reid Public Opinion May 7–9, 2012 PDF 23 50 6 19 2 online 802
Forum Research May 2, 2012 PDF 23 48 8 19 1 telephone 1054
Forum Research April 11, 2012 PDF 23 46 8 23 1 telephone 1069
Angus Reid Public Opinion March 29–30, 2012 PDF 23 43 8 23 3 online 800
Forum Research March 19, 2012 PDF 21 47 9 21 2 telephone 1063
Mustel Group March 5–19, 2012 PDF 34 42 6 17 2 telephone 518
Justason Market Intelligence February 24 – March 7, 2012 HTML 31 45 8 14 2 telephone/online hybrid 611
NRG Research Group February 7–12, 2012 HTML 36 42 10 13 600
Ipsos Reid February 1–5, 2012 PDF 32 44 7 16 online 1000
Angus Reid Public Opinion January 27–29, 2012 PDF 28 42 10 19 1 online 800
Forum Research January 23, 2012 PDF 26 39 9 22 4 IVR 988
NRG Research Group December 23, 2011 HTML 32 36 19 13
Forum Research December 15, 2011 PDF 23 34 15 23 5 online 1045
Oraclepoll Research November 22 – 25, 2011 PDF 25 44 16 15 telephone 600
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 31 – November 1, 2011 PDF 31 40 8 18 online 803
Ipsos Reid September 28 – October 3, 2011 PDF 38 45 6 12 online 1000
Ipsos Reid May 9–13, 2011 PDF 41 39 8 10
Mustel Group May 15, 2011 HTML 37 35 9 18 1 telephone
Angus Reid Public Opinion March 16–17, 2011 PDF 43 38 10 5 4 online
Angus Reid Public Opinion December 20–21, 2010 PDF 38 38 12 7 5 online
Angus Reid Public Opinion December 7–8, 2010 PDF 36 36 14 6 8 online
Mustel Group November 4–15, 2010 PDF 37 42 10 9 3 telephone
Angus Reid Public Opinion October 13–14, 2010 HTML 24 49 13 8 6 online
Mustel Group September 7, 2010 PDF 33 42 12 11 2 telephone
Angus Reid Public Opinion July 28, 2010 PDF 27 48 13 6 6 online
Angus Reid Public Opinion July 8, 2010 PDF 23 46 14 8 9 online
Angus Reid Public Opinion June 6, 2010 PDF 26 46 14 8 6 online
Mustel Group May 16, 2010 PDF 32 44 13 7 3 telephone
Angus Reid Public Opinion April 14, 2010 PDF 29 47 15 5 4 online
Angus Reid Public Opinion March 19, 2010 PDF 35 43 13 6 3 online
Mustel Group November 20, 2009 PDF 35 43 15 5 2 telephone
Angus Reid Strategies November 20, 2009 HTML 33 47 10 7 3 online
Angus Reid Strategies September 2009 HTML 31 45 11 7 6 online
Angus Reid Strategies August 11, 2009 HTML 34 42 12 7 5 online
Election 2009 May 12, 2009 45.83 42.14 8.2 2.1 1.28

References

External links


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