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| Brazilian presidential election, 2010 | ||||
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| October 3, 2010 | ||||
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| Nominee | José Serra | Dilma Rousseff | Ciro Gomes | |
| Party | PSDB | PT | PSB | |
| Home state | São Paulo | Minas Gerais / Rio Grande do Sul | Ceará | |
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Incumbent President President-elect |
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The Brazilian general election of 2010 will be held on Sunday, October 3, 2010. The Presidency, all Chamber of Deputies seats and fifty-four of the Federal Senate seats will be contested in this election, along with all 26 states (plus the Federal District) governorships and the state legislatures.
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President
On October 3, 2010, Brazilian citizens elegible to vote will choose the successor of current President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, from the Workers' Party. If none of the candidates receives more than a half of the valid votes, a run-off will be held on October 24, 2010. According to the Constitution, the President is elected directly to a four-year term, with a limit of two terms. Lula is not elegible, since he was elected in 2002 and re-elected in 2006 [1].
Possible candidates
The possible candidates of the two major political groups are Dilma Rousseff (from the government centre-left, which includes the ruling Workers' Party, the Democratic Movement Party, the Democratic Labour Party, the Republican Party, the Communist Party of Brazil, and the Republic Party, among others) and José Serra (from the centre-right opposition [2][3][4][5][6] , which includes the Social Democratic Party, the Democrats and the Socialist People's Party)[1]. It is expected that the Left Front (formed by Socialism and Freedom Party, Brazilian Communist Party and United Socialist Workers' Party) launches Heloísa Helena once again as its presidential candidate. It is also possible that the Socialist Party launches Ciro Gomes as its candidate, and thus, creating a split on the centre-left group. Marina Silva, environmentalist and former Minister of Environment of the Lula administration, is a possible candidate for the Green Party.[7] Some suggest that Helena may abandon her candidacy and form a coalition with Silva; the United Socialist Workers' Party announced that if this coalition is formed, it will then launch the candidacy of its president José Maria de Almeida[8]. There are also some political rumours that the former governor of Rio Grande do Sul, Germano Rigotto may lead and independent candidacy by the Brazilian Democratic Movement Party or leave the party and join the either the Brazilian Labour Party or the Progressist Party in order to run for the presidency in a move similar to the one by Silva. [9]
| Candidate | Endorsement | Political affiliation | |
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 Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB) |
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Brazilian Social Democratic Party (PSDB) |
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 Workers' Party (PT) |
Brazilian Democratic Movement Party (PMDB) Brazilian Republican Party (PRB) Democratic Labour Party (PDT) |
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Brazilian Socialist Party (PSB) |
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 Socialism and Freedom Party (PSOL) |
United Socialist Workers' Party (PSTU) |
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 Green Party (PV) |
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 Brazilian Democratic Movement Party (PMDB) (Rio Grande do Sul, Paraná, Santa Catarina and Roraima states only) |
Progressist Party (PP) |
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Opinion polls
According to most polls, the most likely scenario is that José Serra will face Dilma Rousseff on a run-off, since neither of them has more than 50% of the voting intention.
| Date | Institute | Candidate | Undecided | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aécio Neves (PSDB) | José Serra (PSDB) | Dilma Rousseff (PT) | Ciro Gomes (PSB) | Heloísa Helena (PSOL) | Marina Silva (PV) | |||
| March 27, 2008 | Datafolha[10] |
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38% | 3% | 20% | 14% |
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25% |
| November 28, 2008 | Datafolha[11] |
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41% | 8% | 15% | 14% |
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21% |
| March 19, 2009 | Datafolha[12] |
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41% | 11% | 16% | 11% |
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21% |
| May 28, 2009 | Datafolha[13] |
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38% | 16% | 15% | 10% |
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21% |
| June 9, 2009 | CNI / Ibope[14] |
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38% | 18% | 12% | 7% |
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25% |
| August 16, 2009 | Datafolha[15] |
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38% | 17% | 14% | 12% | 3% | 18% |
| August 18, 2009 | Vox Populi / Bandeirantes[16] |
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30% | 21% | 17% | 12% |
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20% |
| September 8, 2009 | CNT / Sensus[17] |
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39.5% | 19% |
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9.7% | 4.8% | 27% |
| November 11, 2009 | Vox Populi / Bandeirantes[18] |
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36% | 19% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 23% |
| November 23, 2009 | CNT / Sensus[19] |
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31.8% | 21.7% | 17.5% |
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5.9% | 23.1% |
Governors
All 26 Brazilian states and the Federal District governors will be up for election. If none of the candidates receives more than a half of the valid votes, a run-off will be held on October 24, 2010. According to the Constitution, governors are elected directly to a four-year term, with a limit of two terms. Aécio Neves (Minas Gerais), Blairo Maggi (Mato Grosso), Eduardo Braga (Amazonas), Ivo Cassol (Rondônia), Luiz Henrique da Silveira (Santa Catarina), Marcelo Miranda (Tocantins), Paulo Hartung (Espírito Santo), Roberto Requião (Paraná), Waldez Góes (Amapá), Wilma de Faria (Rio Grande do Norte) and Wellington Dias (Piauí) were all elected in 2002 and re-elected in 2006 and thus are not allowed to run again.
Federal Senate
Fifty-four of the 81 seats in the Federal Senate will be up for election. According to the Constitution, senators are elected directly to an eight-year term, and there is no limit on the number of terms. Alternately, one third and two thirds of the seats are up for election every four years. On 2006, one third of the seats were up for election and thus on 2010 there will be two thirds.
Chamber of Deputies
All 513 seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies will be up for election. According to the Constitution, deputies are elected directly to a four-year term, and there is no limit on the number of terms.
State Assemblies
All seats in the State Assemblies will be up for election. According to the Constitution, State Assemblies are unicameral, and its members, who are designated as state deputies, are elected directly to a four-year term, with no limit on the number of terms.
References
- ^ a b BARRIONUEVO, Alexei. "The Health of a Likely Presidential Candidate Comes Under Brazil's Microscope", The New York Times, May 23, 2009. Accessed June 14, 2009.
- ^ Block, Robert "Cardoso faces challenge to fulfil promises of reform", The Independent, October 8, 1994.
- ^ Cviic, Stephen. "Analysis: Brazil's new political map", BBC News, October 7, 2002.
- ^ a b c Rochido, Janaína. "Brazil re-elects left-wing president but most governors are centre-right", City Mayors, November 18, 2006.
- ^ Burton, Guy. "Left and centre-right make gains in Brazil's larger cities", City Mayors, October 28, 2008.
- ^ "Freedom in the World 2009 - Brazil", Freedom House, July 16, 2009
- ^ PV já articula apoio à candidatura de Marina Silva Globo.com. Retrieved on 2009-08-15. (Portuguese)
- ^ [1]
- ^ "Interview to Jornal do Comércio", Germano Rigotto´s Website, 2007
- ^ Intenção de voto para presidente 2010, Datafolha. Retrieved on 2009-10-20. (Portuguese)
- ^ Intenção de voto para presidente 2010, Datafolha. Retrieved on 2009-10-20. (Portuguese)
- ^ Intenção de voto para presidente 2010, Datafolha. Retrieved on 2009-10-20. (Portuguese)
- ^ Intenção de voto para presidente 2010, Datafolha. Retrieved on 2009-10-20. (Portuguese)
- ^ Serra lidera pesquisa Ibope de intenção de voto para 2010 Agência Brasil/IBOPE. Retrieved on 2009-08-15. (Portuguese)
- ^ Serra mantém liderança na disputa pela Presidência, mostra Datafolha Globo.com/Datafolha. Retrieved on 2009-08-15. (Portuguese)
- ^ Serra lidera disputa pela Presidência, diz pesquisa Jornal da Band. Retrieved on 2009-08-23 Template:Pt-icon
- ^ Serra lidera todas simulações para 2010 Yahoo! Notícias. Retrieved on 2009-09-08 Template:Pt-icon
- ^ Vox Populi: Serra lidera com 36% para 2010; Dilma sobe Terra. Retrieved on 2009-11-14 Template:Pt-icon
- ^ Serra lidera pesquisa para 2010, mas adversários crescem, diz CNT/Sensus Globo.com. Retrieved on 2009-11-23 Template:Pt-icon
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