| ‹ 2005–2006 |
||||
| Chilean presidential election, 2009 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 13, 2009 | ||||
| Candidate | Jorge Arrate | Marco Enríquez-Ominami | ||
| Party | Communist Party | Independent | ||
| Alliance | Juntos Podemos Más | New Majority | ||
| Opinion polls | ||||
| May-Jun. [59] | 1% | 13% | ||
| Jul.-Aug. [60] | 1% | 17% | ||
| Oct. [61] | 5% | 19% | ||
| Candidate | Sebastián Piñera | Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle | ||
| Party | National Renewal | Christian Democrat Party | ||
| Alliance | Coalition for Change | Concertación | ||
| Opinion polls | ||||
| May-Jun. [62] | 37% | 30% | ||
| Jul.-Aug. [63] | 37% | 28% | ||
| Oct. [64] | 36% | 26% | ||
| Chile |
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Other countries · Atlas Politics portal |
The Chilean presidential election of 2009 is scheduled to take place on Sunday December 13, 2009,[1] with a run-off scheduled for January 17, 2010 if no candidate gains more than 50% of the valid vote. The winner will succeed Michelle Bachelet on March 11, 2010. Parliamentary elections will take place on the same day.
Chilean politics are dominated by two main coalitions: the center-left Concert of Parties for Democracy (Concertación de Partidos por la Democracia), composed of the Christian Democrat Party, the Socialist Party, the Party for Democracy, and the Social Democrat Radical Party; and the center-right[2] Alliance for Chile (Alianza por Chile), composed of the Independent Democrat Union and National Renewal. The Concertación has selected former president Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle as their candidate, while the Alianza has chosen former presidential candidate Sebastián Piñera, who is supported by the newly created Coalition for Change electoral group. The far-left Juntos Podemos Más pact selected former Socialist Party member Jorge Arrate as its candidate. Another former Socialist party member, deputy Marco Enríquez-Ominami (MEO), is currently running as independent, with considerable popular support.
Opinion polls show Piñera would outpoll every other candidate in a first round scenario, but would not win the majority needed to take the presidency outright (50% of the valid vote plus 1 vote). His contender in a possible runoff would be former President Frei, although some polls show MEO could become Piñera's contender by outpolling Frei by a slight margin. In a runoff scenario, Piñera is statistically tied if paired with either Frei or MEO, but the independent candidate would have a better chance to beat Piñera than the former President at that stage.
Contents |
Summary of candidates
The following are the four official candidates for President:
| Candidate | Endorsement | Political affiliation |
|---|---|---|
|
Jorge Arrate Communist Party of Chile |
Juntos Podemos Más New Left[3] |
Left |
|
Marco Enríquez-Ominami Independent |
Ecologist Party Humanist Party Broad Social Movement[4] |
Center-left |
|
Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle Christian Democrat Party |
Concertación Country Force |
Center-left |
|
Sebastián Piñera National Renewal |
Coalition for Change | Center-right |
Coalition for Change candidate
|
Sebastián Piñera (RN) |
Both Alliance for Chile parties —RN and UDI— chose Sebastián Piñera as their candidate for president, now under the banner of a larger electoral pact, the Coalition for Change, which also includes the newly formed party ChileFirst and other minor groups. |
Party pre-candidates
| Party | Candidate | Remarks |
|---|---|---|
| RN | Sebastián Piñera | Piñera participated in Hernán Büchi's 1989 presidential campaign and was later elected to the Senate. He was a potential presidential nominee in 1993, but his chances were ruined by a conflict with Evelyn Matthei that came to be known as Piñeragate. In 1999 he again attempted to be the nominee, but was defeated in the convention by Joaquín Lavín. In 2005 he shook the political scene by jumping into the first round independently of the UDI. Polls show him narrowly beating Frei in a runoff scenario. He was officially proclaimed by RN on August 8, 2009.[5] He submitted his candidacy to the Electoral Service on September 9, 2009.[6] |
| UDI | Sebastián Piñera | The UDI officially proclaimed Piñera as its candidate on August 22, 2009.[7] Piñera had been proposed as the party's candidate by the UDI's Consejo Directivo in December 2008.[8]
Pre-candidates:
Potential candidates:
Declined candidacies:
|
| CH1 | Sebastián Piñera |
ChileFirst decided to support Piñera on March 29, 2009 after its leader, senator Fernando Flores, declined to run for president.[13] It officially proclaimed him on August 15, 2009.[14] Declined candidacies:
|
Concertación candidate
|
Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle (PDC) |
The Concertación selected former president Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle from the Christian Democrat Party as its single candidate for president. The selection process involved a single regional primary on April 5, 2009 in the Maule and O'Higgins regions between Frei and José Antonio Gómez from the Social Democrat Radical Party. Frei won with 65% versus 35% of Gómez. Had the percentage difference between both candidates been less than 20%, the selection process would have continued with additional primaries in other regions until May 17.
Frei was legally proclaimed as presidential candidate by the PPD on August 1, 2009[15] and by the PDC, PS and PRSD on August 22, 2009.[16] He submitted his candidacy to the Electoral Service on September 12, 2009.[17] |
Party pre-candidates
Each Concertación party selected its own pre-candidate for president. Only Frei and Gómez submitted their candidacies before the January 26, 2009 deadline.
| Party | Candidate | Remarks |
|---|---|---|
| PRSD | José Antonio Gómez | He was proclaimed by his party on November 13, 2008. He had announced his pre-candidacy two days earlier.[18] |
| PDC | Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle | He was proclaimed by his party on December 13, 2008.[19]
Other candidates:
Decined candidacy:
|
| PS | Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle | The PS selected Frei as its candidate on January 17, 2009. He was the only person to submit a candidacy to the PS presidential convention. Declined candidacies:
|
| PPD | Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle | The PPD selected Frei as its candidate on January 24, 2009, with 296 votes from the party's National Council, against seven for PRSD candidate José Antonio Gómez.[31] Other candidates:
|
| Independent candidates |
None | Failed candidacies:
|
Primary results
The primary was carried out on April 5, 2009 in the Maule and O'Higgins regions. Frei became the single Concertación candidate by beating Gómez with an advantage above 20%, cancelling the need for further regional primaries.
Final results.[37]
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle | DC | 40,140 | 64.90 | Concertación candidate |
| José Antonio Gómez | PRSD | 21,703 | 35.09 | |
| Valid votes | 61,843 | 100 | ||
| Null votes | 222 | 0.35 | ||
| Blank votes | 317 | 0.50 | ||
| Total votes | 62,382 | 100 | ||
Juntos Podemos candidate
|
Jorge Arrate (Communist Party of Chile) |
The Juntos Podemos Más coalition of far-left parties selected former Socialist Party member Jorge Arrate as its sole candidate for president on April 25, 2009. He was officially proclaimed as candidate on April 26, 2009.[38] In July 2009, after his candidacy lost the support of the Humanist Party, he became a member of the Communist Party in order to comply with the law and run for president. He submitted his candidacy to the Electoral Service on September 9, 2009.[39] |
Party pre-candidates
| Party | Candidate | Remarks |
|---|---|---|
| PCCh | Guillermo Teillier | Teillier launched his candidacy on September 26, 2008. He said he is willing to step down in order to put forward a single candidate for the Juntos Podemos coalition of left-parties.[40] In November 2008 he said he would be willing to participate in a primary between him, Hirsch and Alejandro Navarro, who had quit the Socialist Party.[41] Teillier stepped down as Juntos Podemos pre-candidate on April 25, 2009, giving his support to Jorge Arrate, saying he was the right person according to the country's political moment. |
| PH | Tomás Hirsch | Hirsch was among the founders of the Humanist Party and vied unsuccessfully for seats in the Chamber of Deputies as part of the Concertación. In 1993, the PH broke off from the coalition. In 1999 he was the Humanist presidential candidate, but lost in the first round. In 2005, he again participated in the presidential campaign, now with the additional support of the communists. He garnered a little over 5% of the vote. In an interview with Biobío Radio in September 1, 2007, Hirsch criticized the Concertación and the Alianza and declared that he would he "happy to be a candidate" if the members of his coalition agree.[42] On June 7, 2008 he announced he intended to run for the presidency for the third time as the PH candidate, under the Juntos Podemos umbrella.[43] |
| Independent (Socialista-allendista) | Jorge Arrate | Arrate is a member of the more leftist faction of the PS and had been mentioned as a potential candidate in an alliance of this faction and the Juntos Podemos Más pact. He formally announced his candidacy on January 27, 2008, pressured by a group of socialists opposed to the Socialist Party leadership[44]. On November 20, 2008, Arrate was proclaimed as candidate by a group of Socialist Party Central Committee members.[45] Arrate resigned from the PS on January 14, 2009.[46]. He was proclaimed as presidential candidate on January 18, 2009 by a group of Socialist Party members, the so-called "socialistas-allendistas.[47] |
Primary results
The election to define the sole Juntos Podemos candidate was carried out on April 25, 2009 in Santiago. Arrate beat Hirsch and became the single Juntos Podemos candidate.
Final results.[48]
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jorge Arrate | Ind. | 1,145 | 77.57 | Juntos Podemos candidate |
| Tomás Hirsch | PH | 331 | 22.42 | |
| Valid votes | 1,476 | 100 | ||
| Null votes | 6 | 0.40 | ||
| Blank votes | 2 | 0.13 | ||
| Total votes | 1,484 | 100 | ||
Independent candidate
|
Marco Enríquez-Ominami (Ind.) |
On December 15, 2008, he announced he was available to compete with Insulza in a Socialist Party primary.[35] He, however, did not submit his candidacy to the PS presidential convention. On January 9, 2009, he agreed to compete in the Concertación primaries as independent after gaining the support of some council people and legislators.[36] He did not submit his candidacy, however. Instead he is running as an independent and as of August, 2009, polling above 20% and thus threatening to displace one of the coalition-backed candidates in the expected run-off election. He was proclaimed candidate by the Humanist and Ecologist parties plus several other leftist groups under the banner of a new electoral pact, a New Majority for Chile, on September 13, 2009.[49] He submitted his candidacy to the Electoral Service on September 10, 2009.[50] |
Declined candidacies
- Eduardo Artés (PC (AP)): He was proclaimed as Juntos Podemos pre-candidate by the Communist Party (Proletarian Action) on December 7, 2007.[51] However, on July 26, 2008, the PC (AP) left the Juntos Podemos pact, accusing them of abandoning their founding principles in light of the pact's electoral deal with the Concertación for the upcoming October municipal elections.[52] He quit his candidacy in July 2009. He said his candidacy was just an opportunity to present new ideas to the country, because being a candidate is something he can't afford, economically speaking.[53]
- Leonardo Farkas (Ind.): He is an extravagant mining businessman.[54] On December 5, 2008, he announced he was giving up his presidential candidacy.[55]
- Pamela Jiles (Ind.): She is a journalist and television presenter. She launched her candidacy in February 2009 through a column in The Clinic magazine.[56] On September 4, 2009 she stepped out of the race in support of Navarro.[57]
- Luis Molina Vega (Ind.)[58] The Civil Engineer from Tomé stepped out of the race in July 2009, due to low support.[59]
- Alejandro Navarro (MAS): He has characterized himself as a leader in the "dissident" faction of the Socialist Party, which harshly criticizes what they call the "neoliberal" economic model and supports Hugo Chávez and Fidel Castro.[citation needed] Despite his involvement in a scandal due to his participation in a recent protest organized by the Unitary Workers Central where he attacked a policeman and the possibility of being expelled from the Senate, Navarro has already declared himself to be a presidential candidate for 2008. In November, 2008, he quit the PS to form a new party called Movimiento Amplio Social. He said his candidacy was necessary to "stop Piñera from winning in the first round" and still considers himself a Socialist.[60] The MAS proclaimed him its candidate on November 11, 2008. The MAS is open to stage a primary between all leftist candidates that are not part of the Concertación.[61] Navarro has proposed to hold the primary on April 2009.[62] On May 5, 2009 Navarro said he would step out of the race and support Arrate if polls released from then to September show the Juntos Podemos candidate having an advantage of seven points over him. He didn't rule out Arrate then supporting Enríquez-Ominami, if his candidacy was the strongest.[63] Navarro was proclaimed as MAS candidate on July 25, 2009 with the support of other minor left groups.[64] He submitted his candidacy to the Electoral Service on September 14, 2009.[65] On September 22, 2009 Navarro announced he was stepping out of the race and gave his support to Enríquez-Ominami.[66]
- Adolfo Zaldívar (PRI): The former president of the PDC and current senator lost the last internal PDC primary to Alvear. He is the brother of former senator and former Interior Minister Andrés Zaldívar. He was expelled from the PDC in December 2007. He is now part of the Regionalist Party of the Independents (PRI) and intends to run as president representing that collectivity. Zaldívar was proclaimed by the PRI on April 26, 2009.[67] This decision was ratified on August 29, 2009.[68] He stepped out of the race on September 14, 2009, just hours before the deadline for submission.[69]
Opinion polls
List of opinion polls released within a year of the election. Only responses from persons registered to vote are shown.
| Legend | |
|---|---|
| — | Not in the list |
| Wins election | |
| May win election | |
| Runoff | |
| May go to a runoff | |
First-round scenarios
| Publisher | Field date | Date published | Arrate | MEO | Frei | Navarro | Piñera | Zaldívar | Other | DK/NR | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEP | November 19-December 11, 2008 | December 30, 2008 | — | — | 31 | 4 | 41 | 3 | 0 | 21 | Source |
| La Segunda | December 18, 2008 | December 19, 2008 | — | — | 36 | 3 | 46 | 3 | 0 | 12 | Source |
| La Segunda | April 6, 2009 | April 7, 2009 | 1 | 4 | 33 | 3 | 43 | 4 | 0 | 12 | Source |
| La Tercera | April 6-7, 2009 | April 12, 2009 | — | 3 | 33 | 5 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 15 | Source |
| Imaginacción | April 4-26, 2009 | May 11, 2009 | — | 10.5 | 32.4 | 3.2 | 38.3 | 4.4 | 0 | 11.2 | Source |
| TNS Time | April 1-30, 2009 | May 5, 2009 | — | 14 | 29 | 4 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 14 | Source |
| La Tercera | April 21-23, 2009 | April 26, 2009 | — | 10 | 28 | 3 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 20 | Source |
| Ipsos | N/A | April N/A, 2009 | 0.3 | 5.1 | 25.4 | — | 43.3 | — | — | 25.9 | Source |
| La Segunda | May 14, 2009 | May 15, 2009 | 1 | 14 | 27 | 1 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 12 | Source |
| Imaginacción | May 2-30, 2009 | June 11, 2009 | 0.5 | 20.9 | 29.9 | 2.4 | 34.9 | 3.2 | 0 | 8.2 | Source |
| TNS Time | May 4-30, 2009 | June 2, 2009 | 1 | 24 | 25 | 1 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 14 | Source |
| CEP | May 14-June 3, 2009 | June 18, 2009 | 1 | 14 | 30 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 19 | Response to a questionnaire. (Source) |
| CEP | May 14-June 3, 2009 | June 18, 2009 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 1 | 37 | 1 | 1 | 16 | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
| Ipsos | May 18-June 1, 2009 | June 9, 2009 | 1.4 | 20.6 | 24.9 | 1.3 | 34.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 16.2 | Source |
| Imaginacción | June 1-30, 2009 | July 14, 2009 | 2.3 | 21.5 | 28.2 | 0.9 | 35.9 | 1.8 | 0 | 9.4 | Source |
| Mori | June 27-July 9, 2009 | July 23, 2009 | 1 | 13 | 21 | 2 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 19 | Source |
| La Segunda | July 8, 2009 | July 10, 2009 | 2 | 15 | 27 | 1 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 15 | Source |
| Imaginacción | July 1-31, 2009 | August 12, 2009 | 3.5 | 21.9 | 26.7 | 0.6 | 36.7 | 1.1 | 0 | 9.5 | Source |
| La Tercera | July 20-22, 2009 | July 26, 2009 | 2 | 21 | 25 | 1 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 20 | Source |
| CERC | July 17-August 3, 2009 | August 12, 2009 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 1 | 39 | 0 | 0 | 20 | Source |
| Ipsos | July 24-August 6, 2009 | August 19, 2009 | 1.5 | 20.6 | 22.9 | 0.5 | 35.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 17.3 | Source |
| Direct Media | August 5-6, 2009 | August 12, 2009 | 1.63 | 15.48 | 21.28 | 0.63 | 34.43 | 0.69 | 0 | 25.86 | Source |
| La Segunda | August 12, 2009 | August 14, 2009 | 1 | 20 | 24 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 15 | Source |
| Imaginacción | August 1-29, 2009 | September 14, 2009 | 2.3 | 20.5 | 28.2 | 0.9 | 37.8 | 1.5 | 0 | 10.3 | Source |
| CEP | July 30-August 20, 2009 | September 3, 2009 | 1 | 16 | 30 | 1 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 16 | Response to a questionnaire. (Source) |
| CEP | July 30-August 20, 2009 | September 3, 2009 | 1 | 17 | 28 | 1 | 37 | 1 | 0 | 15 | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
| Imaginacción | September 1-30, 2009 | October 14, 2009 | 4.5 | 20.4 | 25.7 | 0.3 | 38.4 | 1.4 | 0 | 9.3 | Source |
| La Segunda | September 24, 2009 | September 25, 2009 | 4 | 19 | 23 | — | 39 | — | — | 15 | Source |
| Ipsos | September 16-October 6, 2009 | October 21, 2009 | 3.7 | 17.8 | 27.2 | — | 36.7 | — | 0.3 | 14.3 | Source |
| UDP | September 21-October 13, 2009 | October 28, 2009 | 4.1 | 17.3 | 23.7 | 0.6 | 30.3 | — | — | 24.0 | Source |
| La Tercera | October 5-8, 2009 | October 10, 2009 | 6 | 24 | 20 | — | 39 | — | — | 11 | Source |
| CERC | October 2-13, 2009 | October 20, 2009 | 3 | 20 | 20 | — | 41 | — | — | 16 | Source |
| El Mercurio-Opina | October 10-12 2009 | October 18, 2009 | 4.9 | 21.5 | 22.8 | — | 38.0 | — | — | 12.7 | Source |
| Giro País-Subjetiva | October 9-20, 2009 | October 31, 2009 | 4.7 | 19.3 | 28.6 | — | 36.9 | — | — | 10.5 | Source |
| Imaginacción | October 1-31, 2009 | November 16, 2009 | 6.4 | 22.3 | 27.0 | — | 37.8 | — | — | 6.5 | Source |
| CEP | October 8-30, 2009 | November 11, 2009 | 4 | 17 | 26 | — | 35 | — | — | 18 | Response to a questionnaire. (Source) |
| CEP | October 8-30, 2009 | November 11, 2009 | 5 | 19 | 26 | — | 36 | — | — | 14 | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
| El Mercurio-Opina | November 3-4, 2009 | November 7, 2009 | 6.1 | 20.4 | 21.5 | — | 38.0 | — | — | 14.0 | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
| El Mercurio-Opina | December 5-6, 2009 | December 9, 2009 | 6.8 | 19.5 | 22.6 | — | 38.2 | — | — | 12.9 | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
DK/NR: Don't know / No response.
Runoff scenarios
Frei vs. Piñera
| Publisher | Field date | Date published | Frei | Piñera | DK/NR | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CEP | November 19-December 11, 2008 | December 30, 2008 | 34% | 44% | 22% | Source |
| Imaginacción | December 6-28, 2008 | January 8, 2009 | 42.5% | 44.8% | 12.7% | Source |
| La Segunda-UDD | December 18, 2008 | December 19, 2008 | 38% | 46% | 16% | Source |
| TNS Time | January N/A, 2009 | January 31, 2009 (unverified) |
40% | 45% | 15% | Source |
| Imaginacción | January 3-31, 2009 | February 6, 2009 | 42.3% | 45.6% | 12.1% | Source |
| TNS Time | February 2-26, 2009 | March 10, 2009 (unverified) |
38% | 43% | 19% | Source |
| Imaginacción | February 7-28, 2009 | March 4, 2009 | 43.4% | 46.8% | 9.8% | Source |
| La Segunda-UDD | March 5, 2009 | March 6, 2009 | 37% | 46% | 17% | Source |
| TNS Time | March 2-30, 2009 | March 31, 2009 | 41% | 39% | 20% | Source |
| Imaginacción | March 2-31, 2009 | April 8, 2009 | 44.3% | 44.7% | 11.0% | Source |
| La Segunda-UDD | April 6, 2009 | April 7, 2009 | 39% | 45% | 16% | Source |
| La Tercera | April 6-7, 2009 | April 12, 2009 | 40% | 46% | 14% | Source |
| Imaginacción | April 4-26, 2009 | May 11, 2009 | 43.2% | 43.8% | 13.0% | Source |
| TNS Time | April 1-30, 2009 | May 5, 2009 | 41% | 43% | 16% | Source |
| CERC | April 13-27, 2009 | May 14, 2009 | 33% | 47% | 20% | Source |
| La Tercera | April 21-23, 2009 | April 26, 2009 | 39% | 43% | 18% | Source |
| Giro País-Subjetiva | April 30-May 10, 2009 | May 16, 2009 | 40.8% | 37.9% | 21.3% | Source |
| La Segunda-UDD | May 14, 2009 | May 15, 2009 | 34% | 44% | 22% | Source |
| Imaginacción | May 2-30, 2009 | June 11, 2009 | 43.1% | 44.2% | 12.7% | Source |
| TNS Time | May 4-30, 2009 | June 2, 2009 | 38% | 43% | 19% | Source |
| CEP | May 14-June 3, 2009 | June 18, 2009 | 39% | 39% | 22% | Response to a questionnaire. (Source) |
| CEP | May 14-June 3, 2009 | June 18, 2009 | 39% | 41% | 20% | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
| Ipsos | May 18-June 1, 2009 | June 9, 2009 | 39.6% | 42.3% | 18.1% | Source |
| Imaginacción | June 1-30, 2009 | July 14, 2009 | 41.9% | 43.3% | 14.8% | Source |
| MORI | June 27-July 9, 2009 | July 23, 2009 | 30% | 46% | 24% | Source |
| La Segunda-UDD | July 8, 2009 | July 10, 2009 | 39% | 43% | 18% | Source |
| Imaginacción | July 1-31, 2009 | August 12, 2009 | 42.8% | 44.5% | 12.7% | Source |
| CERC | July 17-August 3, 2009 | August 12, 2009 | 36% | 44% | 20% | Source |
| Ipsos | July 24-August 6, 2009 | August 19, 2009 | 38.1% | 45.5% | 16.4% | Source |
| Direct Media | August 5-6, 2009 | August 12, 2009 | 30.97% | 40.89% | 28.14% | Source |
| CEP | July 30-August 20, 2009 | September 3, 2009 | 39% | 39% | 22% | Response to a questionnaire. (Source) |
| CEP | July 30-August 20, 2009 | September 3, 2009 | 39% | 42% | 19% | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
| La Segunda-UDD | August 12, 2009 | August 14, 2009 | 36% | 45% | 19% | Source |
| Imaginacción | August 1-29, 2009 | September 14, 2009 | 42.6% | 44.6% | 12.8% | Source |
| Imaginacción | September 1-30, 2009 | October 14, 2009 | 42.2% | 45.2% | 12.6% | Source |
| La Segunda-UDD | September 24, 2009 | September 25, 2009 | 38% | 47% | 15% | Source |
| Ipsos | September 16-October 6, 2009 | October 21, 2009 | 39.6% | 44.5% | 15.9% | Source |
| UDP | September 21-October 13, 2009 | October 28, 2009 | 36.3% | 35.5% | 28.2% | Source |
| La Tercera | October 5-8, 2009 | October 10, 2009 | 39% | 48% | 13% | Source |
| El Mercurio-Opina | October 10-12, 2009 | October 18, 2009 | 38.1% | 42.5% | 19.4% | Source |
| Giro País-Subjetiva | October 9-20, 2009 | October 31, 2009 | 42.0% | 42.2% | 15.8% | Source |
| Imaginacción | October 1-31, 2009 | November 16, 2009 | 42.1% | 45.8% | 12.1% | Source |
| CEP | October 8-30, 2009 | November 11, 2009 | 36% | 40% | 24% | Response to a questionnaire. (Source) |
| CEP | October 8-30, 2009 | November 11, 2009 | 37% | 43% | 20% | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
| El Mercurio-Opina | November 3-4, 2009 | November 7, 2009 | 36.8% | 42.7% | 20.5% | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
| El Mercurio-Opina | December 5-6, 2009 | December 9, 2009 | 34.4% | 42.5% | 23.1% | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
DK/NR: Don't know / No response.
Enríquez-Ominami vs. Piñera
| Publisher | Field date | Date published | MEO | Piñera | DK/NR | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Segunda-UDD | May 14, 2009 | May 15, 2009 | 37% | 45% | 18% | Source |
| MORI | June 27-July 9, 2009 | July 23, 2009 | 23% | 47% | 30% | Source |
| La Segunda-UDD | July 8, 2009 | July 10, 2009 | 36% | 45% | 19% | Source |
| La Tercera | July 20-22, 2009 | July 26, 2009 | 22% | 49% | 29% | Source |
| CERC | July 17-August 3, 2009 | August 12, 2009 | 29% | 44% | 27% | Source |
| Ipsos | July 24-August 6, 2009 | August 19, 2009 | 40.3% | 43.6% | 16.1% | Source |
| Direct Media | August 5-6, 2009 | August 12, 2009 | 31.29% | 38.88% | 29.83% | Source |
| CEP | July 30-August 20, 2009 | September 3, 2009 | 33% | 40% | 27% | Response to a questionnaire. (Source) |
| CEP | July 30-August 20, 2009 | September 3, 2009 | 34% | 44% | 22% | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
| La Segunda-UDD | August 12, 2009 | August 14, 2009 | 37% | 45% | 18% | Source |
| Imaginacción | September 1-30, 2009 | October 14, 2009 | 39.3% | 45.9% | 14.8% | Source |
| La Segunda-UDD | September 24, 2009 | September 25, 2009 | 40% | 47% | 13% | Source |
| Ipsos | September 16-October 6, 2009 | October 21, 2009 | 42.3% | 42.8% | 14.9% | Source |
| UDP | September 21-October 13, 2009 | October 28, 2009 | 36.4% | 34.0% | 29.6% | Source |
| La Tercera | October 5-8, 2009 | October 10, 2009 | 43% | 44% | 13% | Source |
| El Mercurio-Opina | October 10-12, 2009 | October 18, 2009 | 40.3% | 42.9% | 16.8% | Ballot-box vote. (Source) |
| Giro País-Subjetiva | October 9-20, 2009 | October 31, 2009 | 41.1% | 40.2% | 18.7% | Source |
| Imaginacción | October 1-31, 2009 | November 16, 2009 | 42.7% | 43.4% | 13.9% | Source |
| CEP | October 8-30, 2009 | November 11, 2009 | 35% | 37% | 28% | Response to a questionnaire. (Source) |
| CEP | October 8-30, 2009 | November 11, 2009 | 37% | 40% | 23% | Ballot box vote. (Source) |
| El Mercurio-Opina | November 3-4, 2009 | November 7, 2009 | 37.7% | 41.9% | 20.4% | Ballot-box vote. (Source) |
| El Mercurio-Opina | December 5-6, 2009 | December 9, 2009 | 34.8% | 40.7% | 24.5% | Ballot-box vote. (Source) |
DK/NR: Don't know / No response.
Arrate vs. Piñera
| Publisher | Field date | Date published | Arrate | Piñera | DK/NR | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Tercera | October 5-8, 2009 | October 10, 2009 | 33% | 51% | 16% | Source |
DK/NR: Don't know / No response.
Enríquez-Ominami vs. Frei
| Publisher | Field date | Date published | MEO | Frei | DK/NR | Comments |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UDP | September 21-October 13, 2009 | October 28, 2009 | 32.3% | 31.9% | 35.8% | Source |
DK/NR: Don't know / No response.
Debates
The first debate was organized by TVN and took place in Studio #9 at the station's main headquarters in Santiago. It was broadcast live on September 23, 2009 at 10:40 p.m and included all four candidates. A poll published by Ipsos the following day, showed that Enríquez-Ominami, Arrate and Piñera were each considered to have had the best performance over the rest, with 29-30% of support, while Frei's showing only had the support of 9%. Frei was seen by 45% as the worst performer, followed by Piñera (37%), Arrate (10%) and Enríquez-Ominami (5%).[70] Another poll by La Segunda found 23% thought Piñera had won the debate, followed by Arrate (21%), Enríquez-Ominami (15%) and Frei (9%). 31% thought none had won the debate.[71]
The second debate was organized by Archi (Radio Broadcasters Association) and Mayor University. It took place at 8:30 AM on October 9, 2009. It was a radio-only debate, though some local 24-hour news channels broadcast live some parts of it. A poll carried out by Mayor University showed Piñera had won the debate by 41%, followed by Enríquez-Ominami (22%), Arrate (19%) and Frei Ruiz-Tagle (17%).[72]
There was an online debate on November 4, organized by Terra and Radio Cooperativa. Only Arrate was present after the other three candidates declined to attend. Frei and Piñera had confirmed their presence in May, while Enríquez-Ominami backed down on the same day of the debate.
A debate to discuss regional issues took place on November 6 at 9 AM in Talca's casino. It was organized by the National Press Association (ANP) and was attended by all four candidates.
A fifth debate took place on November 9 at Canal 13's studios in Santiago, which was broadcast live at 10 PM. All four candidates were present. This debate was notable because the candidates were able to ask questions to one another and freely talk to each other.
The last debate was organized by the National Television Association (Anatel) and broadcast live on November 16 at 10 PM by all terrestrial television stations. All candidates attended. There was no audience present.
Results
First preliminary results will be announced by the Deputy Interior Minister at around 7 p.m. local time (10 p.m. GMT) on election day.[73] Full results will be then published at http://elecciones.gob.cl/.
| Ballot number |
Candidate | Party/ Coalition |
Votes | % | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jorge Arrate Mac-Niven | PCCh/JPM | |||
| 2 | Marco Enríquez-Ominami Gumucio | Independent | |||
| 3 | Sebastián Piñera Echenique | RN/CFC | |||
| 4 | Eduardo Frei Ruiz-Tagle | PDC/CPD | |||
| Total valid votes | 100.00 | ||||
| Null votes | |||||
| Blank votes | |||||
| Total votes | 100.00 | ||||
| Total voters enrolled | 8,285,186 | N/A% turnout | |||
| Voting age population | 12,277,915 | 67.48% registered | |||
Timeline
- September 13, 2009: Deadline to enroll to vote in the upcoming elections.
- September 14, 2009: Deadline to submit candidacies before the Electoral Service (Servel).
- September 14, 2009: Electoral campaign begins.
- October 5, 2009: Draw supervised by Servel to assign a ballot number to each candidate.
- November 13, 2009: Electoral advertisement period starts.
- December 10, 2009: Electoral advertisement period ends.
- December 13, 2009: Election day. Electoral campaigning ends.
References
- ^ Cronograma Electoral, Servel
- ^ http://www.economist.com/world/americas/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12522950
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- ^ Longueira: "Lavín debe ser candidato presidencial" | Emol.com
- ^ Emol.com - Longueira baja por ahora su candidatura presidencial ante escaso apoyo de la UDI
- ^ a b [9]
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- ^ "Candidato Marcelo Trivelli: “LA CLASE POLITICA SE ALEJA CADA VEZ MAS DE LA REALIDAD”". Ercilla. http://www.ercilla.cl/web/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=867&Itemid=4.
- ^ "DC: surgen voces que aíslan opción de Marcelo Trivelli". La Nación. http://www.lnd.cl/prontus_noticias/site/artic/20070613/pags/20070613205632.html.
- ^ "Marcelo Trivelli atribuye su baja en las encuestas a sus recorridos por Chile". La Tercera. http://www.latercera.cl/medio/articulo/0,0,3255_5664_294185829,00.html.
- ^ "Lorenzini proclama a Soledad Alvear como candidata presidencial". El Mercurio Online. http://www.emol.com/noticias/nacional/detalle/detallenoticias.asp?idnoticia=284354.
- ^ "Soledad Alvear reconoce que es precandidata presidencial" (in Spanish). EMOL. 2008-06-24. http://www.emol.com/noticias/nacional/detalle/detallenoticias.asp?idnoticia=309911. Retrieved 2008-06-24.
- ^ [17]
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- ^ a b Chile's Lagos bows out of presidential race
- ^ [21]
- ^ "Bitar dice que está dispuesto a ser carta presidencial del PPD". La Tercera. http://www.latercera.cl/medio/articulo/0,0,3255_5664_266873707,00.html.
- ^ [22]
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- ^ a b [24]
- ^ a b [25]
- ^ "Resultado Comunal Final Oficial" (in Spanish). Primarias Concertación 2009. 2009-04-08. http://www.primariasconcertacion.cl/rescom.htm. Retrieved 2009-04-08.
- ^ [26]
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- ^ [29]
- ^ "Tomás Hirsch insinúa su entrada al debate presidencial". El Mercurio Online. http://www.emol.com/noticias/nacional/detalle/detallenoticias.asp?idnoticia=274033.
- ^ El Mercurio, June 8, 2008.
- ^ "Ex ministro Jorge Arrate acepta ser precandidato presidencial del PS". El Mercurio Online. http://www.emol.com/noticias/nacional/detalle/detallenoticias.asp?idnoticia=290290.
- ^ [30]
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