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Hyperbolic growth

 
Wikipedia: Hyperbolic growth
The reciprocal function, exhibiting hyperbolic growth.

When a quantity grows towards a singularity under a finite variation it is said to undergo hyperbolic growth.[1] More precisely, the reciprocal function 1 / x has a hyperbola as a graph, and has a singularity at 0, meaning that the limit as x \to 0 is infinity: any similar graph is said to exhibit hyperbolic growth.

Contents

Description

If the output of a function is inversely proportional to its input, or inversely proportional to the difference from a given value x0, the function will exhibit hyperbolic growth, with a singularity at x0.

In the real world hyperbolic growth is created by certain non-linear positive feedback mechanisms.

Comparisons with other growth

Like exponential growth and logistic growth, hyperbolic growth is highly nonlinear, but differs in important respects. These functions can be confused, as exponential growth, hyperbolic growth, and the first half of logistic growth are convex functions; however their asymptotic behavior (behavior as input gets large) differs dramatically:

  • logistic growth is constrained (has a finite limit, even as time goes to infinity),
  • exponential growth grows to infinity as time goes to infinity (but is always finite for finite time),
  • hyperbolic growth has a singularity in finite time (grows to infinity at a finite time).

Applications

Population

Certain mathematical models suggest that until the early 1970s the world population underwent hyperbolic growth (see, e.g., Introduction to Social Macrodynamics by Andrey Korotayev et al.). It was also shown that till the 1970s the hyperbolic growth of the world population was accompanied by quadratic-hyperbolic growth of the world GDP, and developed a number of mathematical models describing both this phenomenon, and the World System withdrawal from the blow-up regime observed in the recent decades. The hyperbolic growth of the world population and quadratic-hyperbolic growth of the world GDP observed till the 1970s have been correlated by Andrey Korotayev and his colleagues to a non-linear second order positive feedback between the demographic growth and technological development that can be spelled out as follows: technological growth - increase in the carrying capacity of land for people - demographic growth - more people - more potential inventors - acceleration of technological growth - accelerating growth of the carrying capacity - the faster population growth - accelerating growth of the number of potential inventors - faster technological growth - hence, the faster growth of the Earth's carrying capacity for people, and so on [2].Other models suggest exponential growth, logistic growth, or other functions.

Queuing theory

Another example of hyperbolic growth can be found in queuing theory: the average waiting time of randomly arriving customers grows hyperbolically as a function of the average load ratio of the server. The singularity in this case occurs when the average amount of work arriving to the server equals the server's processing capacity. If the processing needs exceed the server's capacity, then there is no well-defined average waiting time, as the queue can grow without bound. A practical implication of this particular example is that for highly loaded queuing systems the average waiting time can be extremely sensitive to the processing capacity.

Enzyme kinetics

A further practical example of hyperbolic growth can be found in enzyme kinetics. When the rate of reaction (termed velocity) between an enzyme and substrate is plotted against various concentrations of the substrate, a hyperbolic plot is obtained for many simpler systems. When this happens, the enzyme is said to follow Michaelis-Menten kinetics.

Mathematical example

The function

\frac{1}{t_c-t}

exhibits hyperbolic growth with a singularity at time tc: in the limit as t \to t_c, the function goes to infinity.

More generally, the function

\frac{K}{t_c-t}

exhibits hyperbolic growth, where K is a scale factor (how fast it grows).

Note that this algebraic function can be ragarded as an analytical solution for the following differential function[3]:

\frac{dx}{dt} = \frac{x^2}{K}.

This means that with hyperbolic growth the absolute growth rate of the variable x in the moment t is proprtional to the square of the value of x in the moment t.

Respectively, the quadratic-hyperbolic function looks as follows:

\frac{K}{(t_c-t)^2}.

References

See also

Mathematics

Growth

References

  1. ^ See, e.g., Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth. Moscow: URSS Publishers, 2006. P. 19-20.
  2. ^ See, e.g., Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth. Moscow: URSS Publishers, 2006; Korotayev A. V. A Compact Macromodel of World System Evolution // Journal of World-Systems Research 11/1 (2005): 79–93.
  3. ^ See, e.g., Korotayev A., Malkov A., Khaltourina D. Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth. Moscow: URSS Publishers, 2006. P. 118-123.

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