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Plate Tectonics

Can the plate tectonics theory help to predict where and when a major earthquake is likely to happen?


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November 08, 2008 6:58AM

It can be predicted to a certain degree of accuracy, where is relatively easy, when is tricky, all plates have known vectors and velocities and the areas in which they collide, separate or slide passed one another. The mathematics involved is complicated and subject to intense logistical data collection and collation problems but certainly high probabilities can be assigned to certain geographical areas. An accurate time frame is hard to postulate, after all these plates are fluid and dynamic, which subject to immense fluctuations in the build up and release of pressure, which can be quite sudden.