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The outcomes for each set is not independent. For a set to go into a tie breaker the players need to be very evenly matched. If they are, there is a greater probability that the sets will go into tie breaker. If you disregard that aspect of realitythen the answer is 0.0270, approx.

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Q: The probability that a tennis set will go to a tie breaker is 10 percent what is the probability that two of the three sets will go to a tie breaker?
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