What are the odds of creating a perfect March Madness bracket?
The quick answer: Not great.
The long answer: A modern NCAA bracket attempts to predict the outcome of 63 games, and that means there are a lot of variables that will probably ruin your "perfect" bracket. With each new bracket, the number of possibilities increases exponentially.
Assuming that all of the possibilities are equal, your chances of randomly selecting a perfect bracket are 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808. To put that another way, it's about 1 in 9.2 quintillion.
But that's assuming that you're picking teams at random. If you're a basketball fan, you've got a good idea of which teams will make it to the final rounds, and you're not going to pick randomly-you know that the 1st seed will probably beat the 16th seed, for instance. You'll therefore have a much better chance of getting a perfect bracket.
Don't start counting your winnings just yet. Joel Sokol, a Georgia Tech professor, has spent years of his life developing a statistical model capable of creating the best possible NCAA bracket.
"In general, about 75 percent is where you'll get for essentially any model," Sokol told the NCAA's Bracket IQ blog. "Any of the best ones. Which is partly what makes people think that about a quarter of tournament games are upsets."
Sokol estimates that his a decent statistical model has a significantly better chance of picking a perfect bracket-somewhere between 1 in 10 billion to 1 in 40 billion. That's a massive improvement over a truly random model, but it's still effectively impossible.
"Even the most optimistic number I've seen, which is about 1 in 2 billion, that means give or take, if you want a 50-50 chance of ever seeing it in your life, you have to go through 1 billion NCAA tournaments," Sokol said. "And you might say, well there's millions of people filling these brackets out every year, but really there's not that much variation in the brackets, compared to how many there could be."
Investor Warren Buffet regularly offers huge rewards to anyone who can beat the odds. In 2019, the billionaire is offering $1 million per year for life for a perfect Sweet 16 bracket, reported CBS Sports.
The catch? The offer is only available to Buffett's employees. The other catch? Even if you're an optimist, the chances of a perfect bracket are extremely long.
right after all the teams were known for round 1 of March Madness Read More
march 13 is selection Sunday, where they choose the teams and then make the bracket Read More
No its not possible lol YOu have a better chance of winning the lottery and getting struck by lightning Read More
http://www.cooperspick.com/fullarticle.asp?411-March-Madness-Bracket this one should work for everybody. Read More
9,223,372,040,000,000,000 Read More
This year, 2012, selection Sunday is March 11th and National Bracket Day is March 12th. Read More
There is no best. It is all chance. If you do some research on the teams that would help your chances though. Read More
Yes, I am a huge March Madness fan. I look forward to March Madness every year. Read More
March Madness is copyrighted: http://www.broadcastlawblog.com/tags/march-madness-copyright/ Read More
The phrase "March Madness" is a registered trademark of the March Madness Athletic Association. Read More
since most of it is in march, they call it march madness Read More
You go eeither to espn or yahoo or another sports set for that matter u sign into ur account and then you clicks here it says march madness bracket and you move the teams farther up the bracket that you think r going to win and the you click submit and the computer does the rest Read More
March Madness 2012 begins March 13th and ends April 2nd. Read More
March Madness - 2005 was released on: USA: March 2005 Read More
In 2011, March Madness began on Tuesday March 15th and ended on Monday April 4th. Read More
How many games are played during march madness Read More
There is 46 states represented in March Madness this year. Read More
Henry Porter is the one who coined the phrase March Madness. Henry was the administrator of the Illinois High School Association. March Madness is an essay which appeared in the IHSA magazine. Read More
The Michigan State Spartans have 2 championships since the tournament went to 64 teams: http://www.cooperspick.com/fullarticle.asp?411-March-Madness-Bracket Read More
== == March Madness is where NCAA basketball teams have a single elimination tournament to crown the number one team. Read More
A #16 seed has never beaten a #1 seed in March Madness. Read More
It began because it did. some guys wanted a basketball tournament so they made march madness. Read More
March Madness on Demand - 2009 was released on: USA: 9 March 2009 Read More
The rankings determined toward March Madness are based on college teams' record in the regular season. Each conference has their top teams. Afterwards, the tops get to enter March Madness. Read More
Madness by Muse Read More
The first march madness has held in 1939 which is won by the Oregon Ducks men's basketball team. Read More
The University of Delaware has never won the NCAA tournament. Read More
March Madness Uncensored - 2003 TV was released on: USA: March 2003 Read More
Race to March Madness - 2008 is rated/received certificates of: USA:PG Read More
George Mason was an 11 seed in the 2006 March Madness and a 12 seed in the 2008 March Madness. Read More