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In the 25 years or so before 1914 (and 1939), the German elites were on the whole convinced of their intellectual, cultural, military (and racial) superiority. This kind of thinking is a very poor starting point for a realistic assessment of risks ('gambles') and the realities in the world around one.

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Q: Why did Germany take so many gambles during World War 1 and World War 2 and kept losing?
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