Does Mitt Romney have a chance of winning the election?

Answer 1

Mitt Romney's chances of winning the election are dwindling. The main person likely to stop Romney from winning is Romney.

According to trading at Intrade (a world-wide prediction market), President Obama has a very good chance. As of mid September 2012, President Obama is listed with a 66.3% likelihood to win the 2012 election and that trend is going up daily. They have his opponent, Governor Romney, at 33.2%likelihood with a continuing down trend.

Note:

The Intrade site (link is in related links section below) is the world's leading stock-trading-style market (called a "decision market" or "prediction market") which attempts to "trade" the likelihood of various people being the next president, in the same way people trade stocks. While certainly not a guarantee, it's a good way to see how people who actually bet money on an outcome (instead of just answering a random poll) predict who the next President will be.

With Intrade, these numbers don't necessarily have to add up to 100%, the numbers are based upon active "betting" with investment on one or the other to win the election. Many believe this is a better and more accurate way to determine what people are willing to put their money down for, as opposed to getting the numbers from polling opinions.

Answer 2

I think Romney will be winning this year because usually people want a new president every year.

Not very good. As of early October 2012, the Intrade predictions market has the likelihood of Mitt Romney becoming president at 26.4%. President Obama is 73.7% likely to be re-elected according to this prediction.

Answer 3

He will most likely win hopefully...

He is currently defeating himself. He is not showing any management skills in the management of his campaign and did not demonstrate good foreign policy understanding or diplomacy skills by his statements when the Libyan embassy was attacked.

Low and getting lower. According to trading at Intrade (a world-wide prediction market), President Obama has a very good chance. As of mid September 2012, President Obama is listed with a 66.3% likelihood to win the 2012 election and that trend is going up daily. They have his opponent, Governor Romney, at 33.2% likelihood with a continuing down trend.

Note:

The Intrade site (link is in related links section below) is the world's leading stock-trading-style market (called a "decision market" or "prediction market") which attempts to "trade" the likelihood of various people being the next president, in the same way people trade stocks. While certainly not a guarantee, it's a good way to see how people who actually bet money on an outcome (instead of just answering a random poll) predict who the next President will be.

With Intrade, these numbers don't necessarily have to add up to 100%, the numbers are based upon active "betting" with investment on one or the other to win the election. Many believe this is a better and more accurate way to determine what people are willing to put their money down for, as opposed to getting the numbers from polling opinions.