General Grant
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He looked as though he was going to win it, through the summer of 1864, when he denied any decisive victories to Sherman, and Northern morale suffered so badly that Lincoln actually wrote in his diary that he thought he would lose the election.
The victory at Trenton effected Americans in several ways. The victory here , December 26, 1776 not only boosted morale after a series of defeats, it captured almost the entire Hessian force, and boosted new enlistments, and encouraged those whose enlistments were up to stay on and fight.
It was one of the dramatic Union victories that came just in time (Autumn '64) to save Northern morale, and encourage them to vote Lincoln back in. The capture of Atlanta had not been a big priority with Grant. Technically Sherman had failed in his mission to destroy the Army of Tennessee. But 'Atlanta Falls' made big headlines all the same. So did the other two victories - the liberation of the port of Mobile (David Farragut.), and the clearing of Confederates out of the Shenandoah Valley (Phil Sheridan).
One of them was the liberation of the port of Mobile, Alabama. Another was the final victory over Jubal Early in the Shenandoah by Phil Sheridan. Put together, these three Union victories restored Northern morale after months of depressing news, and revived Lincoln's chances of winning the November 1864 election.
They simply ran out of men and supplies. The blockade had increasingly starved them of the imports they needed, and Grant's ending of the system of prisoner-exchange meant that the Confederate lines would become too thin to hold. Their only hope was that Lincoln might lose the 1864 election (which he feared he would). But Sherman and Sheridan delivered some timely victories which restored Northern morale.