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The author used irony in this passage. Irony occurs when the outcome is different from what is expected. Here, the weather forecast predicted heavy rain and flooding, but only a few clouds passed over with a light sprinkle instead.

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1y ago

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Which magazine correctly predicted every presidential election from 1920 to 1932?

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George Gallup correctly predicted that FDR would handily defeat Alf Landon by using a survey with a relatively small random sample of about 1000 people; meanwhile the Funk & Wagnalls Literary Digest used a sample of more than a million of its readers, who were disproportionately wealthy and supportive of the Republicans, to predict that Landon would win in a landslide, and at first the Literary Digest poll was more widely known.


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Literary Digest polling activities involved conducting large-scale public opinion polls primarily during the 1920s and 1930s. The magazine, known for its literary and cultural commentary, utilized mail-in surveys to gather data on various topics, including political elections. However, its methodology faced criticism due to sampling bias, particularly in the 1936 presidential election, where it incorrectly predicted the outcome, leading to the magazine's decline. This event highlighted the importance of representative sampling in polling practices.


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