I don't know if it originally comes from the military, but I do know it is a common saying in the military. When watchstanders assume the watch, they must be at their station 15 minutes prior to the scheduled relief time for a watch turnover (summary of happenings during the previous watch) so the offgoing watchstander should be able to give a turnover and be off watch at the time the oncoming watchstander is scheduled to assume the watch. If the oncoming watchstander is not there 15 minutes prior to the beginning of the watch and instead arrives at the scheduled time they are late. If they are there 15 minutes prior to the watch, thereby being early for the scheduled time, they are on time.