Share on Facebook Share on Twitter Email
Answers.com

Reliability theory

 
Statistics Dictionary: reliability theory

Theory concerned with determining the probability that a system (with n components) is working. Let xj=1 if the jth component is working and let xj=0 if it has failed. The vector x=(x1 x2...xn) is called the state vector. The function ϕ(x), which takes the value 1 when the system is working and 0 when it has failed, is called the structure function. For n components in series,ϕ(x)=min{x1, x2,..., xn}=x1×x2×...×xn.For n components in parallel,ϕ(x)=max{x1, x2,..., xn}=1-(1-x1)(1-x2)...(1-xn).If ϕ(x)=1 then x is a path vector: it traces a set of connected working components. If failure of any of its working components results in system failure, the vector is a minimal path vector. Correspondingly, if ϕ(x)=0 then x is a cut vector and, if it is the case that repair of any of the failed components in x leads to the system working, then the vector is a minimal cut vector.

If pj denotes the probability that the jth component continues to work during the next unit of time, then the probability that a structure consisting of n components in series continues to work is p1×p2×···×pn with the corresponding probability for n components in parallel being

1-(1-p1)(1-p2)...(1-pn).



Reliability theory. Complicated systems can always be subdivided into combinations of components arranged either in series or in parallel.



Search unanswered questions...
Enter a question here...
Search: All sources Community Q&A Reference topics
Wikipedia: Reliability theory
Top

Reliability theory developed apart from the mainstream of probability and statistics. It was originally a tool to help nineteenth century maritime insurance and life insurance companies compute profitable rates to charge their customers. Even today, the terms "failure rate" and "hazard rate" are often used interchangeably.

The failure of mechanical devices such as ships, trains, and cars, is similar in many ways to the life or death of biological organisms. Statistical models appropriate for any of these topics are generically called "time-to-event" models. Death or failure is called an "event", and the goal is to project or forecast the rate of events for a given population or the probability of an event for an individual.

When reliability is considered from the perspective of the consumer of a technology or service, actual reliability measures may differ dramatically from perceived reliability. One bad experience can be magnified in the mind of the customer, inflating the perceived unreliability of the product. One plane crash where hundreds of passengers die will immediately instill fear in a large percentage of the flying consumer population, regardless of actual reliability data about the safety of air travel.

Reliability period of any object is measured within the durability period of that object.


See also

External links


 
 

 

Copyrights:

Statistics Dictionary. A Dictionary of Statistics. Second edition revised. Copyright © Oxford University Press, 2008. All rights reserved.  Read more
Wikipedia. This article is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution/Share-Alike License. It uses material from the Wikipedia article "Reliability theory" Read more