Is Barack Obama going to win?

Answer 1

As of mid September 2012:

According to trading at Intrade (a world-wide prediction market), President Obama has a very good chance. As of mid September 2012, President Obama is listed with a 66.3%likelihood to win the 2012 election and that trend is going up daily. They have his opponent, Governor Romney, at 33.2%likelihood with a continuing down trend.

Note:

The Intrade site (link is in related links section below) is the world's leading stock-trading-style market (called a "decision market" or "prediction market") which attempts to "trade" the likelihood of various people being the next president, in the same way people trade stocks. While certainly not a guarantee, it's a good way to see how people who actually bet money on an outcome (instead of just answering a random poll) predict who the next President will be.

With Intrade, these numbers don't necessarily have to add up to 100%, the numbers are based upon active "betting" with investment on one or the other to win the election. Many believe this is a better and more accurate way to determine what people are willing to put their money down for, as opposed to getting the numbers from polling opinions.

Yes he is going to win.