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A large portion of the U.S. population is conditioned to believe that a third-party candidate cannot win a U.S. presidential election. Therefore many believe that a vote for a third-party presidential candidate is a wasted vote. That may be the quintessential example of a self-fulfilling prophesy; it is the belief itself that makes it true. The belief has been disproved on the state level by gubernatorial candidates such as former professional wrestler and former Minnesota Governor Jesse Ventura.

U.S. history shows that a third party normally does not establish itself as one of the two major parties until one of the existing two major parties collapses due to excessive internal division. Surely there were some who thought the Republican party was heading down that path in 1912.

Having three or more strong candidates in a U.S. presidential election increases the likelihood of no one receiving the required minimum of electoral votes, causing the election to be taken out of the hands of the voters and the electoral college and put in the hands of the House of Representatives. The same rules are still in effect that caused that to happen in 1824.

Perhaps a break from the electoral college system would result in the needed break from the vicious cycle of the errant belief that a third-party candidate cannot win a U.S. presidential election.

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