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Pre-settlement risk occurs when a transaction is not settled and acounterparty defaults. Assuming we have an FX swap, the second leg or 'far leg' will need to be settled at a contractually fixed rate, defined at the outset of the contract. If the counterparty is in default and there is a Mark-To-Market (MTM) gain on the transaction, from your perspective, then you will not be able to realise the gain.

Say I had a contact with Lehman Bros in which the P&L gain was $10 million (in my favour) when they went bankrupt, even though the contract did not mature for another 2 years. Even though my claim is years away from settling, can I expect them to honour the contract? At the point of bankruptcy, I write off my gain as an unsatisfiable claim.

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Q: Is there a pre-settlement risk on second leg Swap transaction?
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