It is unlikely unless the area under the moderate-risk outlook is expanded.
It is possible that a high-risk outlook will be issued. The SPC has issued a moderate-risk area on that date in their day 3 outlook, which is unusual.
I wouldn't count on it. Given the size of the enhanced risk area, a moderate risk outlook is a good possibility, but high risk out looks are rare and we are moving out of a period of abnormally low activity.
Cumulonimbus clouds typically form thunderstorms due to their towering height, which allows for strong updrafts and the potential for intense rainfall, lightning, and thunder. These clouds can extend vertically to high altitudes and are commonly associated with severe weather events.
Given that the potential for strong tornadoes is already being mentioned in the day 4-5 outlooks, that is a possibility. However it is too early to tell what will happen, or even if this truly will be a major event as predicted. A small shift in conditions can significantly affect the outcome of a severe weather outbreak.
It is not likely. Currently the moderate-risk outlook has been issued for hail, for which the SPC does not issue high-risk outlooks. Only slight-risk outlooks have been issued for wind and tornadoes.
For examples of severe weather are: tornadoes, earthquakes, hurricanes, and severe thunderstorms. High winds, hail, excessive precipitation, and wildfires are forms and effects of severe weather, as are thunderstorms, downbursts, lightning, tornadoes, waterspouts, tropical cyclones, and extratropical cyclones. Regional and seasonal severe weather phenomena include blizzards, snowstorms, ice storms, and duststorms
New Mexico experiences severe weather such as thunderstorms, hailstorms, flash floods, high winds, and occasionally tornadoes. The state is also prone to droughts and wildfires, especially during the hot summer months.
Hail is formed in severe thunderstorms with strong updrafts that carry raindrops to high altitudes where they freeze. It is not always present in the atmosphere but occurs when specific conditions are met in thunderstorms.
Yes, a severe storm warning indicates that severe weather conditions are expected in the area, including potentially dangerous thunderstorms. It is advised to seek shelter indoors and stay away from windows until the storm passes to stay safe from potential hazards like lightning, strong winds, and hail.
It is too early to tell at this point. The SPC has not mentioned consideration of going to a high risk, and April 29 did not show up as strongly on the long-term forecast. Additionally, only once has the SPC ever issued high-risk outlooks for three days in a row.
Cumulonimbus is a type of cloud known for its towering vertical development and potential to produce severe weather conditions such as thunderstorms, heavy rain, lightning, and sometimes hail. These clouds can extend high into the atmosphere and are often associated with turbulent weather patterns.
Severe weather refers to extreme or dangerous weather conditions, such as hurricanes, tornadoes, blizzards, or severe thunderstorms. These conditions can include high winds, heavy rain or snow, hail, and lightning, and can pose a threat to life and property.