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I would be suspicious of the ignition wires. One way to test this theory is on a dry day, spray water with a mist on the wires and the cap and see if the problem starts up for you.

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19y ago
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Q: What could be wrong with a 1995 Cavalier if every time the temperature is 20-30 degrees you have a heck of a time getting it to turn over in the morning but when it is -10 there is no problem?
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