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The Surge and Decline Hypothesis deals with the trend that since 1930's, every president's party has lost house seats during their midterm election. In other words, if there were a Democratic President elected, during his midterm election, the Democrats would lose house seats. This trend is believed to occur because during Presidential Election years, voters will likely vote for the House candidate that their preferred Presidential candidate is affiliated with. However, during midterm elections, partisanship prevails and people will tend to vote for candidates affiliated with their own respective parties. This trend does not occur in the Senate as Senate terms are six years compared to House terms which are only two.

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Q: What is the surge and decline theory?
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