answersLogoWhite

0

As of early October 2012:

According to trading at Intrade (a world-wide prediction market), President Obama has a very good chance. President Obama is listed with a 73.7% likelihood to win the 2012 election and that trend is generally going up. They have his opponent, former governor Romney, at 26.4% likelihood with a continuing down trend.

Note:

The Intrade site (link is in related links section below) is the world's leading stock-trading-style market (called a "decision market" or "prediction market") which attempts to "trade" the likelihood of various people being the next president, in the same way people trade stocks. While certainly not a guarantee, it's a good way to see how people who actually bet money on an outcome (instead of just answering a random poll) predict who the next President will be.

With Intrade, these numbers don't necessarily have to add up to 100%, the numbers are based upon active "betting" with investment on one or the other to win the election. Many believe this is a better and more accurate way to determine what people are willing to put their money down for, as opposed to getting the numbers from polling opinions.

User Avatar

Wiki User

12y ago

What else can I help you with?

Related Questions

What president is better than Andrew Johnson?

Abraham Lincoln for one. Johnson is usually ranked quite low as a President. He was never elected President and was not really given a chance by Congress.


What if Hillary became president her husband became vp and she died in office would her husband become president?

No chance. The president's spouse has no claims on the presidency . <><><> True- HOWEVER- If Bill Clinton ran as her Vice Presient, and were elected to that office, AND the President became unable to complete the term of office, THEN Bill Clinton could again become President. The Constitution provides that one may be ELECTED to the office of President only twice. He would not have been elected more than twice.


How do parties select their candidate for president?

Political parties select their candidates for president after the primary elections. They go to their parties convention and cast votes for the person they think has a better chance to be elected.


How many political parties in US have a chance of a president being elected from there partie?

2 Democrat or Republican. If you are a third party candidate, you have practically no chance of winning.


Is Donald Trump going to be a good president?

Yes, in the matter of fact he will be a good president, he actually cares about his people and will do anything for his people and we are his people.


Can you be president without knowing how to read?

From a legal standpoint you could -- from a practical point of view, I would say you would have no chance whatsoever to get elected.


Who was Thomas Jefferson's running mate in 1800?

Aaron Burr was Jefferson's running mate in 1800. Before the 12th amendment was ratified, each elector cast two votes. The highest was elected president and the 2nd highest vice-president. In 1800 Jefferson and his running mate tied for highest number of votes, so the House had to break the tie. It should have been automatic, but Burr saw his chance to be president and refused to drop out. The opposing Federalists saw their chance to cause trouble for the Republicans and maybe to make a deal, but eventually Jefferson was elected president and Burr vice-president.


What president was a dismal failure?

I think "dismal" may be too strong for any US president. The weakest elected presidents were probably Franklin Pierce, James Buchanan, Warren Harding and Jimmy Carter with Herbert Hoover, Ulysses Grant and George W. Bush as possible choices for this dubious distinction. The weakest of all was probably Andrew Johnson but he was not elected as president and really was given a chance.


Did Abraham Lincoln had the chance to be a US president?

You need to study. Lincoln WAS a US President.


Who said who would be president in 1800?

The House of Representatives elected the President in January and February of 1801, after the election of 1800 resulted in a tie for President between Thomas Jefferson and his running mate, AAron Burr in the electoral college . One of the electors should have left Burr off his ballot and Burr should have resigned, but he saw his chance to be President, so the decision went to the House.


How did Franklin D. Roosevelt become president?

He became president because he wanted to stop the wold war 2 he had no chance but to become president and do it himself


What happen when a president doesn't return a bill in 10 days?

The president gets only 1 chance to get it