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As this question is dealing with forecasting, there will be several different answers depending on who's doing the forecasting.

Answer 1

Very likely

Answer 2

Revolution, as in an armed campaign to overthrow the government in the United States, is close to impossible. The National Guard has sufficient weapons and resources to overpower any of the various militias and paramilitary groups present in the United States. There is also no overwhelming call for the current government or government-style to be recalled. (This is different from the desire to see different politicians in office, which is an integral part of democracy.) The only group advocating for governmental-style change is Occupy Wall Street and that movement is overall nonviolent and unclear (within itself) how it wishes to reform or change the government of the United States.

In summation, an outward Revolution in the United States is more unlikely than in almost any other nation.

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13y ago

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