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*If you don't want an explanation skip to end of this paragraph. Basically global warming is considered an overall warming trend in the mean average global temperature. Tornadoes are caused by the interaction of dry cool air in the mid levels, and warm moist air in the low levels, causing a very unstable situation. This unstable atmosphere allows for long lived and very large severe thunderstorm complexes. The larger and more violent the thunderstorm complex the greater the chance is for the occurrence of tornadoes. Now you would think that warming temperatures would cause a greater occurrence of severe weather due to a warmer moister layer in the low levels but the dynamics of it is dependent on the temperature/density gradient between the mid levels and the low levels, a warming atmosphere tends to warm the mid levels just as much as the low levels so your temperature gradient stays the same but warm air holds more moisture so your density gradient decreases. This increases the chance of thunderstorms, but decreases your chance of severe thunderstorms. *A warming atmosphere reduces the chance of tornadoes.

This simplifies the scenario somewhat. Global warming will have different impacts in different parts of the world. The result is that some areas may see a decrease in tornado activity while others see an increase. There is some evidence, for example, that the area of peak tornado activity in the United States is slowly shifting northward.

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