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- We lack the ability to continuously observe the atmosphere and assimilate these data.
- Our ability to analyze these data are severely limited by inadequate computing speed and storage.
- We lack a complete understanding of the physical processes operating in the atmosphere and elsewhere which contribute to what we know as our weather.
Obviously, it's impossible to constantly know the exact conditions of all of this. Because we do not, we are already starting with error in our forecast. Due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, these errors rapidly accumulate as we go out in time. These processes are stochastic, that is, the next iteration depends upon the previous condition, so alter that condition and you quickly unravel out of control.
Furthermore, we rely on sophisticated computer models as tools to help predict weather, inputting all the observations that we do have and running these through a parameterized (simplified) physical model of the way the atmosphere works. These models are governed by everything we know in fluid dynamics and mechanics, radiative transfer, etc., to output a specific scenario for the state of the atmosphere at a given time. Obviously, we are constrained by our computing power in our ability to represent the system realistically. For example, the grid on which these are run (which means there is one value for temperature, pressure etc. in each cell) can be quite coarse, and not resolve local differences in nature.
Finally, our understanding of certain processes occurring in the atmosphere and interactions among the systems is inadequate. If we do not completely understand why things occur, we cannot model and predict them accurately.
It's a wonder that we can predict the weather at all!
What else can I help you with?
What are unpredictable changes in the air that take place over a short period of time?
Unpredictable changes in the air that occur over a short time are known as weather fluctuations. These can include sudden shifts in temperature, changes in wind direction and speed, and rapid formation of clouds or precipitation. Weather fluctuations are common in dynamic atmospheric systems and can have significant impacts on local conditions.
How accurate is the weather forecast provided by NOAA?
The weather forecast provided by NOAA is generally considered to be accurate, as they use advanced technology and data to make their predictions. However, like any forecast, there is always a margin of error due to the unpredictable nature of weather.
When is it going to stop raining in Scotland?
it will stop but than it would come back again sometime.
Who said If you don't like the weather in Oklahoma just wait and it will change?
This saying is a common adage about the unpredictable weather in Oklahoma. It is often attributed to Will Rogers, a famous American cowboy, actor, and humorist who was born in Oklahoma and known for his witty remarks and observations about life.
What is the weather like on the matterhorn?
The weather on the Matterhorn can be unpredictable and extreme due to its high altitude. It is typically cold and windy, with the possibility of snow and ice even in the summer months. It is important for climbers and visitors to be prepared for rapidly changing conditions.
What is a good sentences for the word unpredictable?
An example is "This weather is unpredictable".
What is irelands weather like?
Unpredictable.
What is a sentence for the word unpredictable?
The dog became unpredictable.Though weather forecasters study storms, hurricanes can be unpredictable.
Why is weather unpredictable?
People cant tell the future
What is the weather crossing Atlantic ocean in March?
Unpredictable
Why is British weather unpredictable?
British weather is influenced by a variety of factors, including its location between different climate zones. The Gulf Stream brings warm air, while polar air masses can bring cold temperatures, resulting in fluctuating weather patterns. This combination of factors leads to the unpredictable nature of British weather.
What is the annual precipitation of Detroit Michigan?
You can never tell the weather for a year, because the weather is unpredictable.
Is error possible in weather predictions or is weather really unpredictable?
I hate you so very much.
Where is the weather most unpredictable?
in North America, especially in the USA
What are the general weather conditions like in Dallas Texas?
The same as anywhere in Texas: The weather is unpredictable, it can be 92 Fahrenheit one day, and 62 the next. The same as anywhere in Texas: The weather is unpredictable, it can be 92 Fahrenheit one day, and 62 the next.
What are goods and bads of Washington?
It is a beautiful state but suffers from unpredictable weather patterns.
What type of weather will be found in Africa when it is El Nino?
Weather during El Ninos are unpredictable. There could be floods or droughts.
