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I believe it was a methodology to determine if a crime had been committed, and way to not automatically jump to that conclusion. But I could have this completely wrong:

Example - you come home, and the vase of flowers is knocked over, and there's a puddle of water on the floor.

1) Can the facts be explained by natural law? If the window was open, it's possible the wind knocked the vase over. Or an earthquake could have occured. If natural law runs contrary to the facts (i.e. the window was closed and there were no earthquakes), go to 2.

2) Can the facts be explained by chance? Some things just happen sometimes, but it's rather unlikely that the vase randomly decided to fall over, so go to 3.

3) Can the facts be explained by design? That is, did someone plan and execute a crime here? Was there a motive, and an action? Prehaps our naughty Simaese cat has knocked the vase over to get at the fresh water inside? Clever plan, and an inspection of the wood floor shows the tell-tale wet pawprints. Elementary, my dear Ruckus!

- Justin Snow

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