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Estimating the probability of World War 3 within the next five years is inherently complex and speculative, as it depends on numerous unpredictable factors, including geopolitical tensions, economic conditions, and diplomatic efforts. While the current international environment exhibits signs of instability, many nations are incentivized to avoid large-scale conflict due to the catastrophic consequences it would entail. Additionally, international institutions and treaties play a role in conflict resolution. Consequently, while tensions may increase, the actual likelihood of a global war remains uncertain and likely low, barring unforeseen escalations.

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