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James Madison believed that Britain was the primary threat to American sovereignty due to its ongoing interference with American trade and its support for Native American resistance against American expansion. He viewed British policies, such as impressment of American sailors and trade restrictions, as direct provocations. Additionally, Madison felt that the historical grievances and unresolved issues from the Revolutionary War made conflict with Britain inevitable, as they would continue to undermine American interests. In contrast, he viewed France as a potential ally rather than a foe.

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