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Nov

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I cover food, travel, and occasionally tennis (when Nadal is playing).

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Projecting how people will eat and drink in 2021 isn’t quite the same as before. Given what’s happening in 2020, it’s absurd to focus on hot ingredients or trendy ways to eat when lives and jobs are on the line.

In its latest food and beverage trend forecast, global food and restaurant consultancy Baum + Whiteman focuses on the industry’s macro changes. Here are the highlights:

Lockdown, stores closed due to social distances To prevent COVID 19Fewer restaurants GETTY

Expect fewer restaurants

Let’s start with bad news: there will be fewer restaurants. Baum + Whiteman foresees the industry will take some time to bounce back — “2022 before fast food/drive-thru/delivery restaurants fully recover … and 2024 or later before sit-down restaurants prosper.”

Even Celebrity Chefs have to pivot. Along with the shutdown of thousands of restaurants (plus more to come), star chefs will resort to gigs — opening popups in spaces with better short-term rent deals, at friends’ restaurants or from their own kitchens. Food-wise, they will forego fancy dishes for top-notch comfort food. Think “the best possible barbecue, or the Platonic hamburger, or knock-your-socks-off salsa for their ultimate roast chicken.”

Eventually, fewer restaurants will lead to higher menu prices, but it isn’t all bad. Wages will increase in response to “calls for gender-racial-class equity.” And with fewer people dining out because of higher prices, expect the dining industry’s business model to go through much-needed rebalance.

Asian waitress serving food new normal.Reduced human interaction GETTY

Reduced human interaction

Unfortunately, eating out in 2021 probably won’t feel as warm and friendly as it used to be. Bye-bye buffets and sharing platters. Hello QR codes for touchless ordering and paying the bill. Whether it’s limiting the number of menus, separating groups with safety barriers, pouring your own wine, or seeing more delivery people rushing in and out of the restaurants “for off-premises revenue,” the result is reduced human interaction between “customers and server

Unfortunately, eating out in 2021 probably won’t feel as warm and friendly as it used to be. Bye-bye buffets and sharing platters. Hello QR codes for touchless ordering and paying the bill. Whether it’s limiting the number of menus, separating groups with safety barriers, pouring your own wine, or seeing more delivery people rushing in and out of the restaurants “for off-premises revenue,” the result is reduced human interaction between “customers and servers, and even among table mates.”es.

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