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This is still unclear, but it is possible and even likely that in a rapidly warming world, SOMETHING in the system will be altered enough to influence El Nino, for better or worse. The most obvious of which would be warmer ocean waters which would enhance El Nino, although I'm not sure if this has been proven. Either way, it is always very difficult to assess whether humans can or have played a role in individual extreme events because it is impossible to know whether they would have occurred anyway, since extreme events have always occurred and we can't test this in a lab (the earth is our lab).

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15y ago

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