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First, the main eruption was in June, not May.

There were a number of signs, starting with earthquakes and steam explosions indicating the volcano was becoming active. Gas measurements and later earthquakes clearly showed that magma was rising. The volcano's activity gradually escalated until its climactic eruption. When a lava dome appeared on the flanks, it was a sign that Pinatubo was about ready to blow.

Furthermore, by studying deposits in the surrounding area, scientists knew that Pinatubo was prone to very large eruptions and so represent a very great danger.

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