In assessing the risk of severe storms the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has three general risk levels: SLGT (slight), MDT (moderate), and HIGH.
A location within a region that is under a slight risk has at least a 15% chance of having a severe thunderstorm come within 25 miles or a 10% or greater chance of a tornado coming within 25 miles.
A severe thunderstorm is a thunderstorm that produces at least one of the following:
They could downgrade it, but it is unlikely that they will.
Yes, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) could downgrade the Moderate Risk (MDT) of severe thunderstorms to a Slight Risk if new data or analysis suggests a reduced threat of severe weather. This decision is based on ongoing monitoring of atmospheric conditions and the latest forecast models.
In assessing the risk of severe storms the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has three general risk levels: SLGT (slight), MDT (moderate), and HIGH.A location within a region that is under a moderate risk has at least a 45% chance of having a severe thunderstorm come within 25 miles or a 15% or greater chance of a tornado coming within 25 miles. This usually indicates a significant severe weather event will take place.A severe thunderstorm is a thunderstorm that produces at least one of the following:Winds to at least 58 mphHail to 1 inch diameter or greaterA tornado
Ships should not sail during severe storms to protect the safety of passengers, crew, and the vessel itself. Severe storms can present a high risk of capsizing, damage to the ship, and the inability to navigate effectively, making it dangerous and potentially life-threatening to be at sea during such conditions.
Pay attention to local weather broadcasts. You may also want to visit the National Weather Service website (see the link below) to see what weather alerts are in your area. You need not worry too much, as a slight risk from the storm prediction center does not mean there is an immediate threat. If severe weather does move into your area, see if you have a battery operated weather radio as severe storms can cause power outages.
They could downgrade it, but it is unlikely that they will.
Keep an eye out for severe storms and take a look at what the text says. If see text appears without any slight, moderate or high risk then your chances of seeing a severe thunderstorm are small. or the forecast models disagree on how much risk there is.
It is too early to tell at this point. However, given the size of the slight risk area, it is possible.
Yes, the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) could downgrade the Moderate Risk (MDT) of severe thunderstorms to a Slight Risk if new data or analysis suggests a reduced threat of severe weather. This decision is based on ongoing monitoring of atmospheric conditions and the latest forecast models.
It is too early to tell but probably not likely. An an enhanced slight risk area is most likely to be issued near the center of the slight risk area. But again, there is always a significant amount of uncertainty in day 3 outlooks.
Probably not. A high risk for severe storms is usually only issued once or twice a year, and is hardly ever issued in the winter.
In assessing the risk of severe storms the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has three general risk levels: SLGT (slight), MDT (moderate), and HIGH.A location within a region that is under a moderate risk has at least a 45% chance of having a severe thunderstorm come within 25 miles or a 15% or greater chance of a tornado coming within 25 miles. This usually indicates a significant severe weather event will take place.A severe thunderstorm is a thunderstorm that produces at least one of the following:Winds to at least 58 mphHail to 1 inch diameter or greaterA tornado
It is too early to tell for sure as not outlook as yet been issued for that date. The Storm Prediction Center notes that a slight risk outlook may be issued. But consideration of a moderate risk outlook requires a level of confidence not possible with out current forecasting abilities.
Ships should not sail during severe storms to protect the safety of passengers, crew, and the vessel itself. Severe storms can present a high risk of capsizing, damage to the ship, and the inability to navigate effectively, making it dangerous and potentially life-threatening to be at sea during such conditions.
Pay attention to local weather broadcasts. You may also want to visit the National Weather Service website (see the link below) to see what weather alerts are in your area. You need not worry too much, as a slight risk from the storm prediction center does not mean there is an immediate threat. If severe weather does move into your area, see if you have a battery operated weather radio as severe storms can cause power outages.
If a moderate risk of severe storms is issued for your area you should be on alert for any severe thunderstorm or tornado warnings. For these purposes you may tune into the TV or radio or check out the National Weather Service web site (link below). It is also a good idea to keep a battery operated weather radio handy as severe thunderstorms and tornadoes can cause power outages.
Given that the area under a moderate risk is fairly small it is not likely that it will be upgraded to a high risk. Though, to be on the safe side it should not be ruled out. However, even without a high risk the will likely be a significant severe weather event.