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The word 'evolution' can refer to both established fact, and to the theoretical model explaining observations in terms of what we know about that fact.

Evolution, the fact, refers to the observed phenomenon of the changing of allele frequencies in populations.

Evolution, the theory, refers to the theory that evolution (the fact) is a result of reproductive variation (eg. mutations), and is mediated by differential reproductive success (natural selection) to produce new forms.

Evolution, the theory, is as close to fact as any science can come. Note that the term 'scientific theory' does not have the same meaning as the popular vernacular 'theory'. In everyday use, the word 'theory' may be used to describe a mere hunch or speculation - whereas in science, a theory is a comprehensive, well-supported explanatory model, consisting of multiply verified hypotheses and independently verifiable facts and laws.

Evolutionary theory encompasses the central hypotheses of common descent and natural selection.

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