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It's where you actually stop and consider logically all of the most probable outcomes at each of at least 3 points of possibility; typically:

1. What is the best possible outcome?

2. What is the worst possible outcome?

3. What is the "most likely" or "middle ground / average" outcome

Based on known variables and statistics you determine at least those 3 ranges of possibility.

This can than be summed up and used to create a plan of action, typically along the lines of:

Hope for the best, prepare for the worst and be willing to accept the reality of it being somewhere in between.

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