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Prediction is more than a guess, it's an educated guess based on other facts you have learned. Some of this learning has been informal through experience, and other learning has been formal through schooling. Think back to the very first time you knew that adding ice to a beverage made the liquid cold. Or the first time you understood that heat on one side of glass and cold on the other side fogs up a window. Or the first time you realized Rock Salt melts ice. Don't worry--most of us don't recall making these realizations for the first time! But experiences like those help us to logically make predictions about the behavior or results on people, plants, objects, and even things we have never witnessed or experienced. like earth's atmosphere, or the solar system. For example, you know earth has gravity and if you drop something, it falls to the floor or ground. You've learned outer space has no gravity and objects are weightless. You understand while a car's engine lets it move forward or backward along a road, airplane engines keep a plane up in the air and moving only forward. So if a car engine breaks, the car is already on the ground, but a plane will fall from the sky without engines. Each piece of knowledge like these gives you predictive abilities when doing a small experiment. Prediction implies trial and error-- you predict, test, and see if you were right---or discover / predict why you were wrong. Some experiments mean we aren't as good at predicting--such as, will a tomato seed grow if we replaced the water with milk, juice, sugar water, or salt water. But each time we "experiment" (not just in school but in real life), we develop our "predictive abilities" and make better predictions. We also learn to reason our reasons-- to be able to make a prediction AND give logical reasons for why we think something will or won't work the way we predict. Prediction therefore can be both what will or what will not happen, or just one. For example, your younger brother states milk will make a tomato seed grow-- after all, he knows milk is good for people. But you learned milk has things that don't let seeds grow and not enough of what a seed does need. So you disagree with your brother. The fun part, though, is testing out our predictions---just in case we might be wrong-- or to prove we were right!

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