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Estimates of "the total number of people who have ever lived" published in the 2000s range approximately from 100 to 115 billion.

An estimate of the total number of people who have ever lived was prepared by Carl Haub of the Population Reference Bureau in 1995 and subsequently updated in 2002; the updated figure was approximately 106 billion. Haub characterized this figure as an estimate that required "selecting population sizes for different points from antiquity to the present and applying assumed birth rates to each period". Given an estimated global population of 6.2 billion in 2002, it could be inferred that about 6% of all people who had ever existed were alive in 2002.

In the 1970s it was a popular belief that 75% of all the people who had ever lived were alive in the 1970s, which would have put the total number of people who ever lived as of the 1970s as less than the number of people alive today. This view was eventually debunked.

The number is difficult to estimate for the following reasons:

  • The set of specific characteristics that define a human is a matter of definition, and it is open to debate which members of early Homo sapiens and earlier or related species of Homo to include. See in this regard also Sorites paradox. Even if the scientific community reached wide consensus regarding which characteristics distinguished human beings, it would be nearly impossible to pinpoint the time of their first appearance to even the nearest millennium because the fossil record is simply too sparse. However, the limited size of population in early times compared to its recent size makes this source of uncertainty of limited importance.
  • Robust statistical data only exist for the last two or three centuries. Until the late 18th century, few governments had ever performed an accurate census. In many early attempts, such as ancient Egypt and in the Persian Empire the focus was on counting merely a subset of the people for purposes of taxation or military service. All claims of population sizes preceding the 18th century are estimates, and thus the margin of error for the total number of humans who have ever lived should be in the billions, or even tens of billions of people.
  • A critical item for the estimation is life expectancy. Using a figure of twenty years and the population estimates above, one can compute about fifty-eight billion. Using a figure of forty yields half of that. Life expectancy varies greatly when taking into account children who died within the first year of birth, a number very difficult to estimate for earlier times. Haub states that "life expectancy at birth probably averaged only about ten years for most of human history" His estimates for infant mortality suggest that around 40% of those who have ever lived did not survive beyond one year.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_population#Number_of_humans_who_have_ever_lived

a lot

Creationist AnswerThe above answer is from an Evolutionary perspective. In contrast, the creationist

Henry M. Morris calculated that :-

.... 'The total number of men and women who have ever lived since God created Adam, therefore, is probably on the order of, say, 20 billion people....

We conclude, therefore, that the Biblical chronologies are all eminently reasonable in the light of population statistics, and that any significant departures from these chronologies, as required to meet evolutionary speculations, are highly unreasonable and improbable....

It may be claimed that none of these calculations really prove anything, since no one really has any way of knowing exactly what birth and death rates and what population figures existed in prehistoric times. This is quite true, of course, but the known facts of population growth do fit the Biblical chronology very well and they do not fit the assumed evolutionary chronology at all.

[From article 'Babel and the World Population Biblical Demography and Linguistics' [MORRIS] @ http://www.ldolphin.org/morris.html]

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10y ago
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13y ago

First, if we assume that the National Geographic Genographic project is correct, civilization as we know it has existed for approximately 60,000 years. If we further assume that the average life span over this history of time is 40 years than we can see there has been 1,500 "generations" of people on the planet.

In order to get from 2 people at the beginning in north central Africa or as the NatGeo project called them "Adam and Eve" to where we are at today at about 6 billion people, we can calculate the ratio of children to parents at about 2.03 to 2. Of course the birth rates have been higher at times and lower at times and different depending on location and socioeconomics but this is an average for all time.

Add up each year in the series and a close approximation is that 209 billion people, plus or minus a few billion, have been born to up to now.

What I found interesting was that in this series or approximation it took 33,500 years for the population on Earth to reach 1 million. It then took 19,000 years for us to hit the 1 billion mark. And it only took 4,900 more years for us to get to the 6 billion number where we are at today.

God did indeed say "Go forth and multiply"!

I just hope we can provide some quality of life for everyone...

Thanks for the Monday evening brain challenge. :)

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2d ago

It is estimated that over 100 billion people have been born in the history of the world. This estimate is based on various demographic studies and historical records.

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14y ago

over a trillion people were born in the history of the world.

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13y ago

The estimated population growth rate (in 2007) for humankind was 1.167%, and the estimated population that year was 6,602,224,175.

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