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A probability is an estimation of how likely an event is to happen.

Looking at various statistics one can give an "event" (say a river flooding an area) a score of how often in a set "period" (of say 100 years) the event will happen. - 1in 100 , 10 in 100, etc.

This is the likelihood of this risk and will help inform decisions as to how to prioritise this risk (among many others that may affect people or a project).

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