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Probability

The probability of a certain event is a number expressing the likelihood that a specific event will occur, expressed as the ratio of the number of actual occurrences to the number of possible occurrences. In mathematics, it is a measure of how often an event will happen and is the basis of statistics.

14,643 Questions

What is the chance of winning twice when the odds are 50 percent?

If you mean like a coin toss, it's 50% probability of winning, also known as even or 1:1 odds.

Winning once has a probability of p=0.5. Winning twice has a probability of p*p = p^2 = 0.25 = 25% = 1/4 = "1 chance in 4" = "odds of 3 to 1 against."

What are the odds in favor of drawing a queen or a 4 from a 52 card deck?

The probability of drawing a queen or a four from a standard 52 card deck is 8 in 52, or 2 in 13, or about 0.1538.

Which event is more likely an even with a probability of 0.95 or an event with a probability of 0.10?

Probabilities go from 0 to 1. 1 means the event will definitely happen. 0 means it's impossible for it to happen. 0.5 means it's just as likely to happen as not. Once you are aware of this scale, it is clear that an event with probability 0.95 is more likely to happen than an event with probability 0.10.

What are the chances of having a girl after having 3 boys?

(assuming that the probability of having a girl or a boy is 50/50)

Looking from beforehand, the probability of having three boys then a girl is the probability of each of these events happening multiplied together. That is 50% x 50% x 50% x 50% or 0.54 This would mean that the chance of having a girl after three boys is 0.0625.

If you've already had the three boys though, it is a different story. The point is that previous experiences do not affect future ones; probability has no memory. Thus the probability of having a girl next is 50%, regardless of if you've had boys or girls in the past. To think otherwise is known as the gambler's fallacy, where a gambler says "black has come up 4 times in a row, it must be red next" even though the chance of red is always 50%

What is the consonant of probability?

They are b, l, p, r, t and y (although the y acts as a vowel).

When a standard windsock becomes fully inflated the windspeed equals or exceeds?

A fully extended standard windsock, per FAA standards, means the wind is at least 15 knots or 17 MPH.

What are the odds of rolling two dice and getting snake eyes twice in a row?

Possible results when rolling the first cube = 6

Possible results when rolling the second cube = 6

Possible results when rolling two cubes = 6 x 6 = 36

How many of these 36 possibilities are snake-eyes ? Only 1 .

Probability of snake-eyes on the first roll = 1/36

Probability of snake-eyes on the second roll = 1/36

Probability of snake-eyes on both rolls = 1/36 x 1/36 = 1/1,296 = 0.077 percent

Odds = (1 in 1,296) or (1,295 to 1) against it.

The probability of an outcome that is unwanted occuring is called?

The probability of failure.

Actually, the phrases used have very confusing connotations. When studying the risk of people being killed by lightning strikes, a "success" or the "desired outcome" is death caused by lightning. I somehow doubt that the person struck would consider it a desired outcome or a success!

What does probability of an event mean?

Probability is the likelihood, expressed in numerical or ratiometric terms, that an event will occur. A probability of 1 means that the event will occur. A probability of 0 means that the event will not occur. A probability of 0.5 means that the likelihood of the event occurring is equal to the likelihood of it not occurring. For instance, a fair coin has a 0.5 probability of being heads, and a 0.5 probability of being tails.

Defined formally, probability is the number of permutations of the desired outcome divided by the number of permutations of all possible outcomes. Take a standard six-sided die, for instance. There are six permutations. One of them is a 1, so the probability of rolling a 1 is 1 in 6, or about 0.1667.

Probability is not assured. If you roll a die 600 times, you will not necessarily get 100 1's. Over the long run, you will approach that outcome, but each trial will have different results. This is the difference between theoretical probability and experimental probability - theoretical being the mathematical estimate - experimental being the observed results.

What is the probability of drawing two diamonds in two draws without replacing?

The probability of drawing a diamond from a standard 52-card poker deck without jokers is 13/52, or 1/4.

The probability of drawing a second diamond at that point would then be 12/51, for an overall probability of 12/212, or 3/53. This amounts to about a 5.88% chance.

How do you create data set with larger standard deviation?

Standard deviation is the square root of the sum of the squares of the deviations of each item from the mean, i.e. the square root of the variance. In order to increase the standard deviation, therefore, you need to increase the average deviation from the mean.

There are many ways to do this. One is to move each item further away from the mean. For example, take the set [2, 4, 4, 4, 5, 5, 7, 9]. It has a mean of 5 and a standard deviation of 2.14. Multiply each item by 2.2 and subtract 5, giving the set [-1.3, 2.9, 2.9, 2.9, 5, 5, 9.2, 13.4], effectively moving each item 10% further away from the mean. This still has a mean of 5, but the standard deviation is 4.49.

What does the higher standard deviation data set explain?

A higher standard deviation means that the data are fluctuating more widely with respect to the mean. It could mean there are some bad samples, or it could simply mean that the data are not as tightly bound to the mean as anticipated. An unexpected standard deviation should be evaluated, using more robust analyses techniques, so as to differentiate between the various explanations. This is an expected part of error analysis, without which an analysis is incomplete.

Why might researchers study just a sample of a large population rather than the whole population?

Because the whole population might be too large to sample.

A good example is the population of the world. At nearly 7 billion people, it would be unrealistic to sample each person to determine some factor that you are looking at. Generally, we sample a subset of the population, taking into account differences (or errors) that might result, in this case, regional and cultural, in order to estimate the behavior of the larger population.

What is probability a horse will win a race if it has odds of 5 to 1?

5 to 1 to win means the probability of actually winning is 1 to 5, or 0.2. The larger the payout, the longer (or poorer) the odds.

Actually, 5 to 1 means 1 chance in 6 or 16.7%. Of course, race track odds may not be the true probablity of winning.

What is the probability of answering a multiple choice question correctly If you know that one of the answer if definitely wrong but you have to guess between the 3 remaining answers?

1/3.

Indeed, there were four answers you had to choose from. If one is eliminated as you know it is definitely wrong, then you are left with three possible answers, one of which is correct. Thus you have 1 correct answer out of three possible, and the probability to randomly pick the correct one is 1 out of 3, or 1/3 or 33.333 %

How do you calculate mean median and standard deviation?

The mean is the sum of each sample divided by the number of samples.

The median is the middle sample in a ranked list of samples, or the mean of the middle two samples if the number of samples is even.

The standard deviation is the square root of the sum of the squares of the difference between the mean and each of the samples, such sum then divided by either N or by N-1, before the square root is taken. N is used for population standard deviation, where the mean is known independently of the calculation of the standard deviation. N-1 is used for sample standard deviation, where the mean is calculated along with the standard deviation, and the "-1" compensates for the loss of a "degree of freedom" that such a procedure entails.

Not asked, but answered for completeness sake, the mode is the most probable value, and does not necessarily represent the mean such as in an asymmetrically skewed distribution, such as a Poisson distribution.

What is the probability of getting a constant letter from the word mathematics?

The probability is 1. The letters in the word mathematics are all constants, not variables!

What a number describing how likely an event is?

Probability; Possibility/ Likeliness of an outcome

What is dichotomous outcome?

A dichotomous trial is one for which there are only two possible outcomes. Another name for it is binary outcome.

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