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You cannot predict where or when tornadoes will hit in the long term. You can asses potential for a general region over the course of a few hours or days, but not for a specific location such as a city or county.

That said, New York City has been hit by several tornadoes in the past, ranging in strength from EF0 to EF2, so it is likely that it will be hit again eventually. The last tornado to hit NYC was an EF1 that hit parts of Queens and Brooklyn on September 8, 2012.

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