Is any chance to decrease in gold price?

Answer 1

No.

Gold Price reached a series of new record highs during the second quarter and the average price for the period was up 26% year-on-year and up 9% when compared to the previous quarter (Q1 2011). Similar to Q1, the price did not rise in a straight line and saw some notable intra-quarter price action. After reaching a high of USD $1541/oz in early may, gold corrected back to below USD $1500/oz. However, gold was relatively protected from the sharp sell-off that affected many other commodities and the dip provided jewellery consumers and investors with an opportune entry point.

Demand Projection for the Second Half of 2011:

Gold demand in the second half of 2011 will remain strong owing to a number of key factors:

1. Despite a higher gold price, Indian and Chinese demand grew 38% and 25% respectively during Q2 2011 compared to the same period of 2010. This growth is likely to continue, due to increasing levels of economic prosperity, high levels of inflation and forthcoming key gold purchasing festivals.

2. The impact of the European sovereign debt crisis, the downgrading of US debt, inflationary pressures and the still-fragile outlook for economic growth in the West are all likely to drive high levels of investment demand for the foreseeable future.

3. Central banks are likely to remain net purchasers of gold. Purchases of 69.4t during Q2 2011 demonstrated that central banks are continuing to turn to gold to diversify their reserves.