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Khrushchev's key miscalculation in placing missiles in Cuba was underestimating the U.S. response and overestimating the level of support from its allies. He believed that the U.S. would not escalate to military action, assuming that the presence of missiles would strengthen the Soviet position without provoking a serious confrontation. This misjudgment stemmed from a combination of overconfidence in Soviet military capabilities and a misreading of U.S. resolve, ultimately leading to the Cuban Missile Crisis and heightened tensions between the superpowers.

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