Many people respect Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight blog, which can be found on the New York Times website. I enclose the link. Silver is well-known for his non-partisan, and very accurate, analysis of polls and trends.
Predicting will be more fun at Football social networking site. I go with Welker.
You can use the site electoral-vote.com to answer this question. As of right now (September 2), Barack Obama has a 278-247 electoral vote lead, which would make him president if the election were today.
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