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While we can't predict with single-person accuracy who will and will not develop MS, we can tell you the odds. This is done using epidemiology, or the study of disease patterns.

For example, we know that you have a higher risk of developing MS if you have a first-degree relative (parent, sibling, etc) who also has MS. In general, people have about a 1 in 750 risk of developing MS. If you have a first-degree relative with MS, that risk increases to anywhere between 1 in 100 and 1 in 40.

It's not all genetics, though. You can see this through the "identical twin" example. If you have an identical twin (someone with your exact gene structure, etc) who has MS, your risk of developing MS is 1 in 4. If it were all genetic, your risk would be 100%, but the fact that your risk is only 25% means that there are other factors involved, such as ethnicity, geography, and some infectious trigger which all lead to the development of MS.

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15y ago
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