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In most cases, they don't know. The intensity of a tornado is assessed after it has gone through. That said, a tornado the has a strong velocity signature on radar, there is a good chance that it is a strong one capable of causing major damage. If there is a debris signature, it often means significant damage is occurring. This being considered, can only lead to an educated guess of how bad a tornado might end up being.

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Q: How do they find out how bad a tornado is going to be?
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