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Quite low.

Debris shed from comets as they orbit the Sun strike the Earth thousands of times per year, but most of the debris, in the form of periodic meteor showers, is pretty tiny; an average sized particle would be the size of a grain of rice or smaller.

But for the Earth to be struck by the nucleus of the comet itself? We're not certain that an actual comet has EVER struck the Earth, although we can be relatively confident that objects about the size of a comet has hit the Earth once every few thousand years or so.

The probability of a comet striking the Earth within the next 50 years is quite low; one or two percent, but no higher.

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11y ago

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