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Possibly, since the loss of Gibraltar may have led to the loss of Malta and possibly the U.K.'s African and Middle Eastern possessions once Rommel's supply lines were safe from attack. You would have to consider what Germany would have lost in order to take Gibraltar since the UK would have put up a stubborn fight.

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Q: If Germany had taken Gibraltar and had taken Morocco and fortified its west coast would it have prolonged the war in the Mediterranean?
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