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There are two ways to look at this. First, approximately 71% of the Earth is covered by water, so from this standpoint, she (he) is more likely to land on water. On the other hand, most flights, both commercial and private, are over land, so most likely, she (he) would land on dry land. Just a guess, but an educated one.

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Q: Pilot of plane parachutes out when engine stalls Is she more likely to land on water or dry land?
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