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That is a trick question because of how it is worded. If you were to ask,

A woman wants to have 4 babies. If she predicts that the first three will be girls and the last one a boy, what are the chances she will be correct?

Then the answer would be 1 in 2^4 (or 1 in 16 chance). 50% chance for each kid to the power of the number of kids she is predicting.

Howevah! The number of kids she already has doesn't enter into the equation. She is making one prediction about the next child only. The answer is 1 in 2 (just as if she had already had 7 girls, or 1 girl, or 2 boys and 2 girls, or 7 cats and a twinkie.

If this is a math problem then there is your answer. If this is a real-life question, then there are other factors to consider, such as hormonal levels. Some people just have all girls or all boys. It just works out like that.

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Q: What are the chances of a mother has a boy after she has three girls?
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