What if the Armenian Greek and Assyrian genocide didn't happen How many Armenians Greeks and Assyrians would be alive in Turkey today?

Answer 1

There are two questions here.

The first, is how many Armenians, Greeks, and Assyrians would there be if the Armenian Genocide, the various Greek Genocides, and the Assyrian genocide did not occur. Of course, all numbers are only guesses, but given that the Armenian Genocide resulted in 1.5 million deaths, the Greek Genocide resulted in 800,000 deaths, and the Assyrian genocide resulted in 300,000 deaths, these are good numbers to start with. Also considering that Greeks and Armenians in the Ottoman Empire had positive population growth rates and their populations have nearly doubled in the last century in areas unaffected by the genocide (such as independent Greece and Russian/Soviet-occupied Armenia), there would be roughly 4.5 million additional Greeks and Armenians. As for Assyrians, it is more questionable as Assyrians did not have consistent positive population growth and did not have any country to protect their ethnic kindred as Greeks and Armenians did. However, it is estimated that the genocide affected half of the living Assyrian population at the time, so the current Assyrian population (1.6 million) should be a rough guess at how many Assyrians have been lost.

The second question is how many of them would still live in Turkey. Especially in the case of the Greeks, it is unlikely that they would have stayed in Turkey after Turkish independence. Armenians and Assyrians would likely have fought for increased autonomy in Turkey and been repressed like the Kurds as a result, but many would likely have stayed, being unable to leave. (Russian Armenia was not open to mass Immigration like Greece was.) Admittedly, all of this is conjecture, but is based on the historical reactions after the genocides.

Answer 2

There would millions of Armenian Greeks and Assyrian people if the genocide didn't happen today in Turkey.