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There are thousands (maybe millions) of fundamental factors that influence the value of a currency. Luckily for you, you only need to keep track of the big stuff. Remember that what I consider the big stuff today may not be the big stuff tomorrow.

I am giving this analysis from the perspective of a trader in the United States.

(In no particular order of importance):

- breaking news e.g. tsunami hits Japan

- crude oil futures

- the U.S. Stock Market (SPY)

- the U.S. CPI (consumer price index, a measure of inflation)

- USD/CNY and balance of trade (as well as other emerging markets)

- U.S. interest rates and TIC data (Treasury international capital)

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Related Questions

What are the basic factors that determine the value of the currency?

The value of a currency is primarily determined by supply and demand in the foreign exchange market, along with factors such as interest rates, inflation rates, political stability, and economic performance of the country issuing the currency. Market speculation and central bank interventions can also influence the value of a currency.


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