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No. Alcoholism experts typically estimate that 10%-15% of active drinkers are alcoholics, but the line between alcoholism and problem drinking remains clinically vague. Many people remain moderate drinkers all their lives, while others exhibit alcohol tendencies early in life. Failure to predict the outcome of drinking experiences-going out to have one with the boys or girls, but coming back the next morning after binge drinking-is a danger signal. In addition, drinking before the age of 14 markedly increases one's chances of drinking alcoholically as an adult.

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